Central Atlantic distrabance-becoming better organized.

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
Matt-hurricanewatcher

Central Atlantic distrabance-becoming better organized.

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 09, 2007 10:49 pm

27 north/60 west looks like a weak low pressure trying to get going as its moving east-northwest out to sea. I think it has a slight chance but thats about all.
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Wed Oct 10, 2007 11:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: 27 north/60 west

#2 Postby Sanibel » Tue Oct 09, 2007 11:30 pm

I noticed that too. Seeing how it is headed east and out to sea it will probably spin-up.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

Re: 27 north/60 west

#3 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Oct 10, 2007 4:32 am

This is Ex-93L and it doesn't look like NHC will bother with it. I do agree it looks good for development.
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: 27 north/60 west

#4 Postby Sanibel » Wed Oct 10, 2007 9:38 am

Now at 28N-57W and spinning up.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: 27 north/60 west

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Oct 10, 2007 12:32 pm

A weak LLC is starting to form near 27.5/58 west. This system is moving east-northeastward. We will have to see if it can strengthen more.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: 27 north/60 west

#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Oct 10, 2007 11:20 pm

Starting to develop convection over the center its self. So its slowly becoming stronger and more organized. Looks like we could have a depression soon.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
BigA
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1317
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 10:56 pm

Re: 27 north/60 west

#7 Postby BigA » Wed Oct 10, 2007 11:26 pm

Doesnt look bad at all. Its in a low shear area right now. I could use a nice fish like this thing.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: 27 north/60 west

#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Oct 10, 2007 11:47 pm

This has by far the best chance for development. Its located at 29.5 north/56.5 west and moving east-northeastward...I expect a little shear will displace the convection to the east and north of the LLC over the next 6 hours. But as the frontal system that is moving off the east coast catch up to it, I expect this system to pick up speed. In which doing so should allow for a window for some strengthing. Looking good, I would place my money on the second most likely system to form near the canary islands.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

Re: Central Atlantic distrabance-becoming better organized.

#9 Postby drezee » Thu Oct 11, 2007 9:06 am

I am wondering why they are ignoring an at least sub-tropical storm
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145849
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Central Atlantic distrabance-becoming better organized.

#10 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 11, 2007 9:32 am

drezee wrote:I am wondering why they are ignoring an at least sub-tropical storm


They are not ignoring it anymore.Go to active Storms forum to continue the discussions about INVEST 96L.
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: dl20415 and 36 guests