Central Atlantic distrabance-becoming better organized.

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Central Atlantic distrabance-becoming better organized.

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 09, 2007 10:49 pm

27 north/60 west looks like a weak low pressure trying to get going as its moving east-northwest out to sea. I think it has a slight chance but thats about all.
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Wed Oct 10, 2007 11:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sanibel
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Re: 27 north/60 west

#2 Postby Sanibel » Tue Oct 09, 2007 11:30 pm

I noticed that too. Seeing how it is headed east and out to sea it will probably spin-up.
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Thunder44
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Re: 27 north/60 west

#3 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Oct 10, 2007 4:32 am

This is Ex-93L and it doesn't look like NHC will bother with it. I do agree it looks good for development.
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Re: 27 north/60 west

#4 Postby Sanibel » Wed Oct 10, 2007 9:38 am

Now at 28N-57W and spinning up.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: 27 north/60 west

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Oct 10, 2007 12:32 pm

A weak LLC is starting to form near 27.5/58 west. This system is moving east-northeastward. We will have to see if it can strengthen more.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: 27 north/60 west

#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Oct 10, 2007 11:20 pm

Starting to develop convection over the center its self. So its slowly becoming stronger and more organized. Looks like we could have a depression soon.
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Re: 27 north/60 west

#7 Postby BigA » Wed Oct 10, 2007 11:26 pm

Doesnt look bad at all. Its in a low shear area right now. I could use a nice fish like this thing.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: 27 north/60 west

#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Oct 10, 2007 11:47 pm

This has by far the best chance for development. Its located at 29.5 north/56.5 west and moving east-northeastward...I expect a little shear will displace the convection to the east and north of the LLC over the next 6 hours. But as the frontal system that is moving off the east coast catch up to it, I expect this system to pick up speed. In which doing so should allow for a window for some strengthing. Looking good, I would place my money on the second most likely system to form near the canary islands.
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drezee
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Re: Central Atlantic distrabance-becoming better organized.

#9 Postby drezee » Thu Oct 11, 2007 9:06 am

I am wondering why they are ignoring an at least sub-tropical storm
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Re: Central Atlantic distrabance-becoming better organized.

#10 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 11, 2007 9:32 am

drezee wrote:I am wondering why they are ignoring an at least sub-tropical storm


They are not ignoring it anymore.Go to active Storms forum to continue the discussions about INVEST 96L.
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