Hurricane Jeanne Forecast # 12
Saturday September 25, 2004 5am
Mike "Floydbuster" Naso
DISCLAIMER: USE NHC for OFFICAL INFO
This will be my final forecast on Hurricane Jeanne. I expect a landfall between Juno Beach and Vero Beach. Then, a gradual turn northwest, and then north. After 96 hours, a northeast movement.
As for intensity, I will say 120 mph at landfall. I would not be surprised to see it stronger, and as the NHC mentions, a category 4 is not impossible. The dry air is a slight factor, but not really. The waters are warm and only getting warmer, and it has gained speed, therefore having it get inland quicker, rather than become more exposed to shear. And at this time, the shear is nearly non-existent based on maps of shear from CIMSS. Therefore, a major hurricane at landfall is nearly a given. HOWEVER, if it strengthens rapidly as it makes landfall, a 135-145 mph storm (Category 4) can not be out of the question.
No matter 105 mph or 150 mph, this WILL be a very damaging, and dangerous hurricane. Jeanne has killed over 1,000 people, with over 1,000 still missing. She does not care and WILL take others. Be prepared for this serious storm.
This is my final forecast on Hurricane Jeanne.
FINAL
My FINAL Jeanne forecast...
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Re: My FINAL Jeanne forecast...
~Floydbuster wrote:Hurricane Jeanne Forecast # 12
Saturday September 25, 2004 5am
Mike "Floydbuster" Naso
DISCLAIMER: USE NHC for OFFICAL INFO
This will be my final forecast on Hurricane Jeanne. I expect a landfall between Juno Beach and Vero Beach. Then, a gradual turn northwest, and then north. After 96 hours, a northeast movement.
As for intensity, I will say 120 mph at landfall. I would not be surprised to see it stronger, and as the NHC mentions, a category 4 is not impossible. The dry air is a slight factor, but not really. The waters are warm and only getting warmer, and it has gained speed, therefore having it get inland quicker, rather than become more exposed to shear. And at this time, the shear is nearly non-existent based on maps of shear from CIMSS. Therefore, a major hurricane at landfall is nearly a given. HOWEVER, if it strengthens rapidly as it makes landfall, a 135-145 mph storm (Category 4) can not be out of the question.
No matter 105 mph or 150 mph, this WILL be a very damaging, and dangerous hurricane. Jeanne has killed over 1,000 people, with over 1,000 still missing. She does not care and WILL take others. Be prepared for this serious storm.
This is my final forecast on Hurricane Jeanne.
FINAL
looks good..you may have have wanted to go alittle south also on your cone but all in all should be a good forecast
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Tornado_Chaser2005
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