My FINAL Jeanne forecast...

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Anonymous

My FINAL Jeanne forecast...

#1 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 25, 2004 4:28 am

Hurricane Jeanne Forecast # 12
Saturday September 25, 2004 5am
Mike "Floydbuster" Naso
DISCLAIMER: USE NHC for OFFICAL INFO

This will be my final forecast on Hurricane Jeanne. I expect a landfall between Juno Beach and Vero Beach. Then, a gradual turn northwest, and then north. After 96 hours, a northeast movement.

As for intensity, I will say 120 mph at landfall. I would not be surprised to see it stronger, and as the NHC mentions, a category 4 is not impossible. The dry air is a slight factor, but not really. The waters are warm and only getting warmer, and it has gained speed, therefore having it get inland quicker, rather than become more exposed to shear. And at this time, the shear is nearly non-existent based on maps of shear from CIMSS. Therefore, a major hurricane at landfall is nearly a given. HOWEVER, if it strengthens rapidly as it makes landfall, a 135-145 mph storm (Category 4) can not be out of the question.

No matter 105 mph or 150 mph, this WILL be a very damaging, and dangerous hurricane. Jeanne has killed over 1,000 people, with over 1,000 still missing. She does not care and WILL take others. Be prepared for this serious storm.

This is my final forecast on Hurricane Jeanne.

FINAL
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jlauderdal
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Re: My FINAL Jeanne forecast...

#2 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Sep 25, 2004 4:32 am

~Floydbuster wrote:Hurricane Jeanne Forecast # 12
Saturday September 25, 2004 5am
Mike "Floydbuster" Naso
DISCLAIMER: USE NHC for OFFICAL INFO

This will be my final forecast on Hurricane Jeanne. I expect a landfall between Juno Beach and Vero Beach. Then, a gradual turn northwest, and then north. After 96 hours, a northeast movement.

As for intensity, I will say 120 mph at landfall. I would not be surprised to see it stronger, and as the NHC mentions, a category 4 is not impossible. The dry air is a slight factor, but not really. The waters are warm and only getting warmer, and it has gained speed, therefore having it get inland quicker, rather than become more exposed to shear. And at this time, the shear is nearly non-existent based on maps of shear from CIMSS. Therefore, a major hurricane at landfall is nearly a given. HOWEVER, if it strengthens rapidly as it makes landfall, a 135-145 mph storm (Category 4) can not be out of the question.

No matter 105 mph or 150 mph, this WILL be a very damaging, and dangerous hurricane. Jeanne has killed over 1,000 people, with over 1,000 still missing. She does not care and WILL take others. Be prepared for this serious storm.

This is my final forecast on Hurricane Jeanne.

FINAL


looks good..you may have have wanted to go alittle south also on your cone but all in all should be a good forecast
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senorpepr
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#3 Postby senorpepr » Sat Sep 25, 2004 4:32 am

Hmmmm... nice. Thanks for the update.

Where's the track image? I love the track image. Heheheh :D
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Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 25, 2004 4:47 am

senorpepr wrote:Hmmmm... nice. Thanks for the update.

Where's the track image? I love the track image. Heheheh :D


Is this better?

Image
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#5 Postby senorpepr » Sat Sep 25, 2004 4:50 am

hahaha... is that "the" smoking gun?
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#6 Postby yoda » Sat Sep 25, 2004 4:51 am

senorpepr wrote:hahaha... is that "the" smoking gun?



Yes it is... :D
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Anonymous

#7 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 25, 2004 5:16 am

Try this:

Image
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Tornado_Chaser2005

#8 Postby Tornado_Chaser2005 » Sat Sep 25, 2004 5:56 am

LOL @ floydbuster!, BTW great forecast. CAPE CANVERAL might have damage from this one!! I think mother nature is trying to tell NASA something. They fail so much, we don't need them,lol.

Tornado Chaser
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