Tropical Storm Gordon,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[cycloneye]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It's back.

[wxman57]

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932006) ON 20060910 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060910 1200 060911 0000 060911 1200 060912 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.7N 53.0W 21.1N 54.9W 21.9N 56.7W 22.7N 58.2W
BAMM 20.7N 53.0W 21.4N 54.9W 22.3N 56.8W 23.5N 58.3W
A98E 20.7N 53.0W 20.7N 55.1W 21.4N 57.2W 22.2N 58.9W
LBAR 20.7N 53.0W 21.0N 55.1W 21.6N 57.3W 22.5N 59.1W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 27KTS 32KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 27KTS 32KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060912 1200 060913 1200 060914 1200 060915 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 23.6N 59.3W 25.9N 60.0W 28.2N 57.7W 27.5N 56.5W
BAMM 24.9N 59.3W 28.5N 58.8W 31.3N 54.8W 31.7N 52.2W
A98E 22.7N 59.9W 24.2N 62.2W 25.6N 63.7W 28.0N 65.3W
LBAR 23.8N 60.6W 27.6N 62.8W 32.5N 61.4W 35.8N 56.8W
SHIP 38KTS 50KTS 58KTS 58KTS
DSHP 38KTS 50KTS 58KTS 58KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.7N LONCUR = 53.0W DIRCUR = 260DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 21.5N LONM12 = 51.3W DIRM12 = 256DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 21.6N LONM24 = 49.3W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

[drezee]

There is a small ridge in the wake of Flo. If it can move slow enough, it can stay under the ridge and could be a problem for the SE coast in 5-7 days.

[mesocyclone]

Ooh and lookie where its headed.....the H-box.

[BatzVI]

and we're in the northwest section of the box......I'm not totally familiar with the H-box.....does this mean anything for us in the NE Caribbean?

[cycloneye]

and we're in the northwest section of the box......I'm not totally familiar with the H-box.....does this mean anything for us in the NE Caribbean?

20n-60w is the box.

[JonathanBelles]

and we're in the northwest section of the box......I'm not totally familiar with the H-box.....does this mean anything for us in the NE Caribbean?

theres a thread about it let me see if i can find it.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=89383
said "ay-bear"

[cycloneye]

[BatzVI]

when I googled it, the diagram definitely shows the VI within the box, but not PR

[BatzVI]

http://www.hurricanecity.com/hebertbox.htm

[BatzVI]

back to the subject as it appears from reading about the H-box, that if a storm passes through the area, then it will most likely be a concern to Fla......that's if I'm understanding it correctly....

guess we just have to watch the speed of 93L.....I'm gathering that if it's forward speed stays slow, then it will mostly track west.....is this correct?

[Downdraft]

Looking at the latest sats sure looks like a tropical depression to me.

[Noah]

CAn someone tell me if florida needs to watch this? Im on the west coast.

[jusforsean]

CAn someone tell me if florida needs to watch this? Im on the west coast.

i think from the discussions above it seems that if it remains at the current speed, it might need to be watched for fl.

[boca]

its a fish look at the models, I guess Florence has created a weakness in its wake.
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_93.gif

[msbee]

help!
Can someoone please tell me where to view the H-box and what is inside it?
I read the info on hurricanecity but cannot see where to actually view the box.
I know I am probably missing somethign very simple.
all help is veyr much appreciated.

thanks
Barbara

[JonathanBelles]

help!
Can someoone please tell me where to view the H-box and what is inside it?
I read the info on hurricanecity but cannot see where to actually view the box.
I know I am probably missing somethign very simple.
all help is veyr much appreciated.

thanks
Barbara

theres a map at hurricanecity

[Stratosphere747]

Bee...

There is an image just to the left of the written article...

[Zardoz]

...I read the info on hurricanecity but cannot see where to actually view the box?

http://www.hurricanecity.com/hebertbox.htm

[GeneratorPower]

CAn someone tell me if florida needs to watch this? Im on the west coast.

On this board you will be much better off if you try to figure out for yourself whether it's a threat to you or not.

There are a lot of opinions that may or may not mean anything. Gather the info and make your own decision.