The Wave SW of Cape Verde Islands

Grease Monkey · #121 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 3:53 pm

nice outflow

#122 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 4:23 pm

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WESTWARD.

5:30 PM TWO.

#123 Postby **O Town** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 4:53 pm

#124 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:48 pm

Where did you get that graphic OTOWN?

#125 Postby **O Town** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 6:39 pm

http://www.eumetsat.int/idcplg?IdcServi ... d=444&l=en

Scroll down to the full disk sectored image at left, and click the left center box.

They seem to update images every half hour but I see this is the same one. Hmm. Anyways I like this view for the waves emerging off the African coast. The color version is sweet. :darrow:

#126 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 6:41 pm

A 1010 MB LOW WAS ADDED AT 05/1800 UTC NEAR 11N30W REMAINING
NEAR STATIONARY. THIS LOW IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ.
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 33W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THIS
WAVE AND THE ABOVE LOW ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF MID
LEVEL TURNING ALONG THE ITCZ EXTENDING FROM 25W-37W.
CONVECTION/SHOWERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ RATHER THAN THE
WAVE.

8 PM Discussion.A low has formed.

Grease Monkey · #127 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 6:46 pm

Enjoy it when we still feel there's hope. :coaster:

#128 Postby **P.K.** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 7:01 pm

That low has actually been there at 1010hPa since at least 0900 GMT this morning. It was listed in the MetArea II bulletin I posted in the Azores thread where it said it was deepening, although I notice in the 2100 GMT bulletin it now says it is filling.

ConvergenceZone · #129 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 7:13 pm

Looks like this baby's going to pop! Its has a VERY GOOD CHANCE of developing, but the question is, when?

#130 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 7:22 pm

Full Disk

Above is the 00:00 UTC Full Disk image where you can see this wave and other features that are in the Eastern Atlantic and inside Africa.

For those who haved not registered below is the link,and is for free.

http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/registerql.html

#131 Postby **MississippiHurricane** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 7:36 pm

I think it will be a depression in the next 2 days. (Just guessing of course!)

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #132 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:07 pm

The system at 10.5/31 looks to be slowly becoming better organized. Latest satellite shows that convection is starting to pop over that area. With the highest wave legth at the lat posted above. I expect if this where to close off it will do so right there. The system bethind it is also becoming better organized with convection forming over the center.

#133 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:10 pm

This area has been slowly getting more organized since yesterday. A nice pop of convection throught this area and with favorable conditions around it we may see a depression form soon. If you look back on the page behind this one you will see the graphics and the reasons I have given for favorable conditions.

#134 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:11 pm

If the organization of the wave/low continues to improve,then invest 91L will be up tommorow.

#135 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:11 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The system at 10.5/31 looks to be slowly becoming better organized. Latest satellite shows that convection is starting to pop over that area. With the highest wave legth at the lat posted above. I expect if this where to close off it will do so right there. The system bethind it is also becoming better organized with convection forming over the center.

Matt with the 10.5/31 system I think it will get some help from the wave behind it causing some very nice convection overnight and into tomorrow being that the low is stationary.

EDIT:

Also to note, this is a pretty large area of convection and mid level circulation in this area. It would probably wind up being a pretty decent sized storm.

calculatedrisk · #136 Postby **calculatedrisk** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:24 pm

The Aug 6 00:15 UTC Meteosat:

ConvergenceZone · #137 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 8:38 pm

cycloneye wrote:If the organization of the wave/low continues to improve,then invest 91L will be up tommorow.

and with Chris dying out, the attention will turn to this area tomorrow. This will be interesting to say the least!! I'm still not confident that this will recurve out to sea though.

MiamiensisWx · #138 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 9:01 pm

In addition, the possible developing wave/low behind this one may be a good candidate for development.

See my thread on my thoughts

Website · #139 Postby **Brent** » Sat Aug 05, 2006 9:33 pm

10:30pm TWO:

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. WHILE THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED
LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #140 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Aug 06, 2006 12:27 am

The system is hardly moving at all still centered at 10.5/31.5/32. The overall MLC/LLC has sharpen over the lst 12 hours. Instead of covering 8 to 10 degrees it covers about 5 degrees. Convection is starting to focuse over the center of the low pressure area. Which means that it could be starting to close off. Outflow looks very good and inflow looks good. To the north of the system looks to be SAL but this system looks to be doing good.

Quickscats show the western part of the system...Which shows there is a northly and westly wind(Also eastly)So this thing likely is developing a LLC. Once convection fires over the center expect some fairly quick development.

The Wave SW of Cape Verde Islands

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