Ivan Landfall in 6 hours???

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#21 Postby Guest » Thu Sep 23, 2004 9:21 am

Look at the latest vis. if shear reduces we might have a hurricane Ivan by 11pm
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LaBreeze
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#22 Postby LaBreeze » Thu Sep 23, 2004 9:26 am

The clouds have definitely thickened and the winds are still gusty here in Vermilion Parish. The rainfall has slackened a little from earlier this morning. Was out of electricity for a short while, but back on.
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coolsystems
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#23 Postby coolsystems » Thu Sep 23, 2004 9:26 am

Nothing would suprise me with this thing.It just won't go away!
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MBryant
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#24 Postby MBryant » Thu Sep 23, 2004 9:32 am

Is there a study on why weaker storms like Ivan have a tendency to remain offshore as they approach the coast? My memory would indicate that these weak systems tend to stall about 10-50 miles offshore and drift away from the acute angle as they approach the coast. This usually makes their landfall about 50 miles away from the point a simple extension of the trend would put it.

I would be interested if this is the same phenomenon as the one that caused Ivan to move around Jamaica and Grand Cayman Island.
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Living at the intersection of Rita and Humberto and Ike and Harvey and Laura and Delta!

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ROCK
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#25 Postby ROCK » Thu Sep 23, 2004 9:33 am

smokin wrote:Look at the latest vis. if shear reduces we might have a hurricane Ivan by 11pm



hold the phone Smokin you might be on to something...ran a loop out of Lake Charles.....VERY slow drift to the west in the past couple of hours (almost stationary) and not as close to the coast as I thought.....
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