Here is where the NHC expects the wave in 72 hours:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif
Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles
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Extremeweatherguy
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HurricaneHunter914
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Another caribbean storm? Geez they just keep on coming.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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HurricaneHunter914
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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HurricaneHunter914
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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bvigal
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Visible imagery this afternoon displayed a small circulation to the west of the wave. It didn't last long, but this wave is pretty healthy, and yes, it is approaching a significant drop in shear. I think we'll have some more (welcome) rain midweek, but also probably a wind surge. When it reaches the western caribbean or epac, who knows?
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HURAKAN
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bvigal wrote:Visible imagery this afternoon displayed a small circulation to the west of the wave. It didn't last long, but this wave is pretty healthy, and yes, it is approaching a significant drop in shear. I think we'll have some more (welcome) rain midweek, but also probably a wind surge. When it reaches the western caribbean or epac, who knows?
THE RACE IS ON!!!!
IF YOU WANT TO BET FOR "BUD" CALL 1-800-IWANTBUD
IF YOU WANT TO BET FOR "BERYL" CALL 1-800-IWANTBERYL
Many will call, few will win!!!
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bvigal
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
337 PM AST SUN JUN 11 2006
.DISCUSSION...WEATHER CONDITIONS BECAME ACTIVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SINCE THIS MORNING. DIFLUENCE OF THE UPPER
LEVEL WINDS OVER THE AREA ASSOCIATED TO THE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OF
T.S. ALBERTO PROVIDED SUPPORT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS OVER THE AREA. SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS SUGGEST THAT THIS SCENARIO IS GOING TO PERSIST
TONIGHT. IN ASSOCIATION TO THIS...I DECIDED TO INCLUDE MORE
ACTIVE WEATHER FOR TONIGHT AS WELL AS HIGHER POPS AND CLOUDINESS
IN A SHORT TERM BASIS.
BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK...A TROPICAL WAVE NOTED ESTIMATED
ALONG 48 WEST IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT AND DURING WEDNESDAY. THIS WAVE IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE EAST OF PUERTO RICO RESULTING IN A GOOD
LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS. IT
SEEMS THAT THE HIGHER CHANCES FOR ACTIVE WEATHER WILL BE IN THE
EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THERE ARE GOOD CHANCES FOR URBAN
AND/OR FLASH FLOODING DURING THAT PART OF THE WEEK.
&&
.MARINE...THE ADVENT OF THE TROPICAL WAVE AND THE INFLUENCE OF THE
UPPER LOW WILL PRODUCE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHICH WILL RESULT IN AN
INCREASE IN THE SEA HEIGHTS ESPECIALLY OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...ACTIVE WEATHER EXPECTED BY THE BEGINNING TO MID OF THE
WORK WEEK MAY RESULT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS
AS WELL AS THEIR NEIGHBORHOOD.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE CHANCES ALSO FOR RAINFALL
AREAWIDE IN THE AFOREMENTIONED PERIOD OF TIME...IT IS BELIEVED THAT
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND WILL RECEIVE THE MORE ACTIVE
WEATHER. THIS SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
337 PM AST SUN JUN 11 2006
.DISCUSSION...WEATHER CONDITIONS BECAME ACTIVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SINCE THIS MORNING. DIFLUENCE OF THE UPPER
LEVEL WINDS OVER THE AREA ASSOCIATED TO THE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OF
T.S. ALBERTO PROVIDED SUPPORT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS OVER THE AREA. SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS SUGGEST THAT THIS SCENARIO IS GOING TO PERSIST
TONIGHT. IN ASSOCIATION TO THIS...I DECIDED TO INCLUDE MORE
ACTIVE WEATHER FOR TONIGHT AS WELL AS HIGHER POPS AND CLOUDINESS
IN A SHORT TERM BASIS.
BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK...A TROPICAL WAVE NOTED ESTIMATED
ALONG 48 WEST IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT AND DURING WEDNESDAY. THIS WAVE IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE EAST OF PUERTO RICO RESULTING IN A GOOD
LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS. IT
SEEMS THAT THE HIGHER CHANCES FOR ACTIVE WEATHER WILL BE IN THE
EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THERE ARE GOOD CHANCES FOR URBAN
AND/OR FLASH FLOODING DURING THAT PART OF THE WEEK.
&&
.MARINE...THE ADVENT OF THE TROPICAL WAVE AND THE INFLUENCE OF THE
UPPER LOW WILL PRODUCE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHICH WILL RESULT IN AN
INCREASE IN THE SEA HEIGHTS ESPECIALLY OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...ACTIVE WEATHER EXPECTED BY THE BEGINNING TO MID OF THE
WORK WEEK MAY RESULT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS
AS WELL AS THEIR NEIGHBORHOOD.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE CHANCES ALSO FOR RAINFALL
AREAWIDE IN THE AFOREMENTIONED PERIOD OF TIME...IT IS BELIEVED THAT
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND WILL RECEIVE THE MORE ACTIVE
WEATHER. THIS SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
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Ivanhater
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HURAKAN wrote:bvigal wrote:Visible imagery this afternoon displayed a small circulation to the west of the wave. It didn't last long, but this wave is pretty healthy, and yes, it is approaching a significant drop in shear. I think we'll have some more (welcome) rain midweek, but also probably a wind surge. When it reaches the western caribbean or epac, who knows?
THE RACE IS ON!!!!
IF YOU WANT TO BET FOR "BUD" CALL 1-800-IWANTBUD
IF YOU WANT TO BET FOR "BERYL" CALL 1-800-IWANTBERYL
Many will call, few will win!!!
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cycloneye
- Admin
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
337 PM AST SUN JUN 11 2006
BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK...A TROPICAL WAVE NOTED ESTIMATED
ALONG 48 WEST IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT AND DURING WEDNESDAY. THIS WAVE IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE EAST OF PUERTO RICO RESULTING IN A GOOD
LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS. IT
SEEMS THAT THE HIGHER CHANCES FOR ACTIVE WEATHER WILL BE IN THE
EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THERE ARE GOOD CHANCES FOR URBAN
AND/OR FLASH FLOODING DURING THAT PART OF THE WEEK.
Above is the part of afternoon discussion from the San Juan NWS related to the tropical wave expected for midweek here.
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hi cycloeye it is been a long time. it is me from the dominican Republic, remember you still have a friends here,...they info you send us were very well apreciated.
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cycloneye
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
destro34 wrote::D hi cycloeye it is been a long time. it is me from the dominican Republic, remember you still have a friends here,...they info you send us were very well apreciated.
thank and god bless you.
your friend ... destro34
Thank you for those words.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Sure this wave will be the first serious disturbance of the season for the antillies chain;friends in the central and western carribean had to pay attention with this system that seems to get some convection developping at the present time....this the time for the easterly waves to grow over the islands!!!No???
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cycloneye
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Extremeweatherguy
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It could develop once it reaches the NW Carrib. or Gulf of Mexico. This means another active late week/weekend could be in store. We shall see. JB is mentioning a "pulse of activity" in the western Gulf starting late next week/next weekend...we shall see.boca wrote:Is this wave expected to develop or just chug along.
Keep in mind: JB called the current system well in advance.
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