This is the one-Well Defined Wave in East Atlantic
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- Andrew92
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 3247
- Age: 41
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 12:35 am
- Location: Phoenix, Arizona
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I've been reading a lot of the discussions about this tropical wave and that a lot of the models pick up on developing something, maybe this wave. My personal guess right now is that this wave DOES develop into a tropical depression in about 2-3 days. Depending on what conditions are like then, I could very well see Chantal out of this tropical wave, but I will go no further than that at this time in terms of intensity. And for the track, I'm going to simply say it heads west to west-northwest during that time frame. No frills, just a very straight-forward opinion on this one right now.
-Andrew92
I've been reading a lot of the discussions about this tropical wave and that a lot of the models pick up on developing something, maybe this wave. My personal guess right now is that this wave DOES develop into a tropical depression in about 2-3 days. Depending on what conditions are like then, I could very well see Chantal out of this tropical wave, but I will go no further than that at this time in terms of intensity. And for the track, I'm going to simply say it heads west to west-northwest during that time frame. No frills, just a very straight-forward opinion on this one right now.
-Andrew92
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145883
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

It looks almost similar to what it was 93L in early June.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145883
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

Another image,this one the 00:00z full disk of this big wave and more.
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Here's my prediction.
This wave will emerge and become an invest tomorrow night. It will proceed to depression strength by the 5-11am advisory on sunday and will be named Chantal Monday morning. Strength will grow to atleat 65-75 mph, and will eventually effect Puerto Rico, going just to the north. From there on out, my psychic abilities kinda fade out. Trust me on this. I am right about 6% of the time.
Here's my prediction.
This wave will emerge and become an invest tomorrow night. It will proceed to depression strength by the 5-11am advisory on sunday and will be named Chantal Monday morning. Strength will grow to atleat 65-75 mph, and will eventually effect Puerto Rico, going just to the north. From there on out, my psychic abilities kinda fade out. Trust me on this. I am right about 6% of the time.

0 likes
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa
Would you please provide me the link to sign up for the dundee sat.
TCW
TCW
0 likes
- Weatherfreak14
- Category 5
- Posts: 1383
- Joined: Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:40 pm
- Location: Beaufort, SC
- Contact:
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa
Well cyclone1 by that prediction PR should start boarding up, this wave is very impresive and I truely think this is what the models have been picking up on, Lets see what tommrow will have in store for us. Sadly i got to go to flordia and wont be on the computer until sunday.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145883
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa
skufful wrote:Would you please provide me the link to sign up for the dundee sat.
TCW
http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/registerql.html
Here it is.And is for free.
0 likes
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa
cycloneye wrote:skufful wrote:Would you please provide me the link to sign up for the dundee sat.
TCW
http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/registerql.html
Here it is.And is for free.
THX
0 likes
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa
This might be the door opener for the "real" part of the season. Or..it might be yet another bust. We'll see.
0 likes
Re:
Cyclone1 wrote:The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Here's my prediction.
This wave will emerge and become an invest tomorrow night. It will proceed to depression strength by the 5-11am advisory on sunday and will be named Chantal Monday morning. Strength will grow to atleat 65-75 mph, and will eventually effect Puerto Rico, going just to the north. From there on out, my psychic abilities kinda fade out. Trust me on this. I am right about 6% of the time.
As long as it doesn't affect Florida or the Carolinas, we're safe.We don't need this one to become a major cane

0 likes
- windstorm99
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1578
- Age: 47
- Joined: Sat May 26, 2007 8:10 am
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Contact:
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa
You can see how large the envelope of this wave actually is here on EUMETSAT.
Click on (5) for large close-up animation
Click on (5) for large close-up animation
Last edited by windstorm99 on Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145883
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

The familiar pic of that area.As windstorm99 said,it has a large envelope.
0 likes
- wxmann_91
- Category 5
- Posts: 8013
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
- Location: Southern California
- Contact:
Re: This is the one - hitting Dakar around 07/27
philnyc wrote:
Having said all of that, I only give it a 30% chance right now
Now that I would overall agree with you. It has a much better look right now, although it seems there's more of the SAL coming off northern Africa (or are my eyes deceiving me?).
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145883
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/GOTT.html
Observations inside Senegal show pressures down to 1008 mbs.
Observations inside Senegal show pressures down to 1008 mbs.
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 313
- Joined: Thu Jun 07, 2007 1:14 am
- Location: Brooklyn, New York City, New York
- Contact:
Re: This is the one - hitting Dakar around 07/27
wxmann_91 wrote:philnyc wrote:
Having said all of that, I only give it a 30% chance right now
Now that I would overall agree with you. It has a much better look right now, although it seems there's more of the SAL coming off northern Africa (or are my eyes deceiving me?).
Nothin' like the CIMSS to check it out:

I would say that's considerably less than for the last wave. And actually it's pretty clear within the "envelope" of the wave.
0 likes
- 'CaneFreak
- Category 5
- Posts: 1486
- Joined: Mon Jun 05, 2006 10:50 am
- Location: New Bern, NC
- Hurricaneman
- Category 5
- Posts: 7372
- Age: 45
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
- Location: central florida
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa
seems as though the beginnings of what looks to be a low pressure
0 likes
- brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa=Senegal obs,1008 mbs
Just a tropical wave and pressures are already 1008 millibars? Hmmm...Ought to be an interesting area to watch over the next week, if it doesnt go "POOF!". Hopefully this will relieve me of my boredom and not hit anyone.
0 likes
Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa=Senegal obs,1008 mbs
If this keeps up,we've got us a TD sooner than we think 

0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 19 guests