This is the one-Well Defined Wave in East Atlantic

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Cyclone1
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#21 Postby Cyclone1 » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:11 pm

They hardly ever mention waves that have yet to come off the coast.
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Andrew92
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#22 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:15 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I've been reading a lot of the discussions about this tropical wave and that a lot of the models pick up on developing something, maybe this wave. My personal guess right now is that this wave DOES develop into a tropical depression in about 2-3 days. Depending on what conditions are like then, I could very well see Chantal out of this tropical wave, but I will go no further than that at this time in terms of intensity. And for the track, I'm going to simply say it heads west to west-northwest during that time frame. No frills, just a very straight-forward opinion on this one right now.

-Andrew92
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#23 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:19 pm

Image

It looks almost similar to what it was 93L in early June.
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#24 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:23 pm

Image

Another image,this one the 00:00z full disk of this big wave and more.
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#25 Postby Cyclone1 » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:25 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Here's my prediction.

This wave will emerge and become an invest tomorrow night. It will proceed to depression strength by the 5-11am advisory on sunday and will be named Chantal Monday morning. Strength will grow to atleat 65-75 mph, and will eventually effect Puerto Rico, going just to the north. From there on out, my psychic abilities kinda fade out. Trust me on this. I am right about 6% of the time. :eek:
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#26 Postby skufful » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:27 pm

Would you please provide me the link to sign up for the dundee sat.

TCW
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#27 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:28 pm

Well cyclone1 by that prediction PR should start boarding up, this wave is very impresive and I truely think this is what the models have been picking up on, Lets see what tommrow will have in store for us. Sadly i got to go to flordia and wont be on the computer until sunday.
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#28 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:30 pm

skufful wrote:Would you please provide me the link to sign up for the dundee sat.

TCW



http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/registerql.html

Here it is.And is for free.
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#29 Postby skufful » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:32 pm

cycloneye wrote:
skufful wrote:Would you please provide me the link to sign up for the dundee sat.

TCW



http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/registerql.html

Here it is.And is for free.


THX
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#30 Postby Opal storm » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:32 pm

This might be the door opener for the "real" part of the season. Or..it might be yet another bust. We'll see.
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Re:

#31 Postby canegrl04 » Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:41 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Here's my prediction.

This wave will emerge and become an invest tomorrow night. It will proceed to depression strength by the 5-11am advisory on sunday and will be named Chantal Monday morning. Strength will grow to atleat 65-75 mph, and will eventually effect Puerto Rico, going just to the north. From there on out, my psychic abilities kinda fade out. Trust me on this. I am right about 6% of the time. :eek:


As long as it doesn't affect Florida or the Carolinas, we're safe.We don't need this one to become a major cane :eek:
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#32 Postby windstorm99 » Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:06 pm

You can see how large the envelope of this wave actually is here on EUMETSAT.

Click on (5) for large close-up animation
Last edited by windstorm99 on Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#33 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:14 pm

Image

The familiar pic of that area.As windstorm99 said,it has a large envelope.
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Re: This is the one - hitting Dakar around 07/27

#34 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:24 pm

philnyc wrote:
Having said all of that, I only give it a 30% chance right now

Now that I would overall agree with you. It has a much better look right now, although it seems there's more of the SAL coming off northern Africa (or are my eyes deceiving me?).
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#35 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:31 pm

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/GOTT.html

Observations inside Senegal show pressures down to 1008 mbs.
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Re: This is the one - hitting Dakar around 07/27

#36 Postby philnyc » Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:36 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:
philnyc wrote:
Having said all of that, I only give it a 30% chance right now

Now that I would overall agree with you. It has a much better look right now, although it seems there's more of the SAL coming off northern Africa (or are my eyes deceiving me?).



Nothin' like the CIMSS to check it out:

Image

I would say that's considerably less than for the last wave. And actually it's pretty clear within the "envelope" of the wave.
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#37 Postby 'CaneFreak » Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:36 pm

Very interesting!!! :eek:
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa

#38 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:43 pm

seems as though the beginnings of what looks to be a low pressure
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa=Senegal obs,1008 mbs

#39 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:44 pm

Just a tropical wave and pressures are already 1008 millibars? Hmmm...Ought to be an interesting area to watch over the next week, if it doesnt go "POOF!". Hopefully this will relieve me of my boredom and not hit anyone.
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Re: Vigorous Wave about to Emerge Africa=Senegal obs,1008 mbs

#40 Postby canegrl04 » Thu Jul 26, 2007 8:52 pm

If this keeps up,we've got us a TD sooner than we think 8-)
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