Low Pressure in the NW Caribbean/SE GOM: 1006mb

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ronjon
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#261 Postby ronjon » Sat May 26, 2007 1:01 pm

From HPC afternoon Discussion:

POTENTIAL TROPICAL ORIGIN DISTURBANCE AND POSSIBLE SFC
LOW MAY MOVE NWD OUT OF THE WRN CARRIBEAN AFFECTING THE SRN HALF
OF FL NEXT WEEKEND. LOW CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME BUT A POTENTIAL
FOR MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL.
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#262 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 26, 2007 1:04 pm

A SURFACE LOW MAY FORM IN THE
VICINITY OF 12N78W OVER THE 24 HOURS.

http://www.hwn.org/data/TWDAT.html

A small extract from the 2 PM EDT TPC discussion.
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#263 Postby vacanechaser » Sat May 26, 2007 2:07 pm

cycloneye wrote:A SURFACE LOW MAY FORM IN THE
VICINITY OF 12N78W OVER THE 24 HOURS.

http://www.hwn.org/data/TWDAT.html

A small extract from the 2 PM EDT TPC discussion.


just saw that discussion cycloneye... if you look at the ir sat loop over the area, there is a little bomb of convection that has gone off right over the area they point out... also, you can see a little hint of turning in there as well....wow, this could be interesting the next few days.. could be a bear watch issued later!!! :P


IR sat loop


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
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#264 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat May 26, 2007 3:21 pm

here is the latest reports from the Carrib.. lowest pressure i found was 1010mb

http://www.oceanweather.com/data/

click on carrib then marine observatrions.... you can also loop the previous reports..

although it appears at least from the limited observations and satellite that there is a closed circulation.
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windstorm99
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#265 Postby windstorm99 » Sat May 26, 2007 3:45 pm

Satelitte view of the area from channel 7 in miami....

Image
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#266 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Sat May 26, 2007 3:46 pm

but it shouldn't be anything to worry about as of now or is it??????????
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#267 Postby marcane_1973 » Sat May 26, 2007 3:56 pm

Looks like a big blob of T-storms which is normal in this area this time of year. It is very disorganized but........ If it continues to hang around in this area with those warm water temps things could change down the road. :wink:
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#268 Postby ronjon » Sat May 26, 2007 3:57 pm

The normally conservative Euro (12Z run) is pointing toward a weak low pressure moving through the Yucatan straits and cranking up toward the Fl panhandle next weekend.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 7052612!!/
Last edited by ronjon on Sat May 26, 2007 3:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#269 Postby windstorm99 » Sat May 26, 2007 3:59 pm

NHC just added a floater to the area.

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#270 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat May 26, 2007 4:22 pm

hmm. It does look more interesting this afternoon, but I will wait to see if it has any staying power overnight and tomorrow before getting too excited about it.
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#271 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat May 26, 2007 4:24 pm

agreed!!

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/CAR_latest.gif
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#272 Postby Opal storm » Sat May 26, 2007 4:27 pm

Nice little blob forming right now, I'm sure it will die out overnight but convection has been very persistent down there today.
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#273 Postby Ivanhater » Sat May 26, 2007 4:30 pm

Wow...This would be the area the look for development this time of year....2005 Arlene comes to mind in that area this time of year...interesting guys..here we go
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#274 Postby Opal storm » Sat May 26, 2007 4:32 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Wow...This would be the area the look for development this time of year....2005 Arlene comes to mind in that area this time of year...interesting guys..here we go
Yup and I think Alberto came from this area as well.
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#275 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat May 26, 2007 4:32 pm

Opal storm wrote:Nice little blob forming right now, I'm sure it will die out overnight but convection has been very persistent down there today.


of course evertihing at this stage is going to pulse up and down
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#276 Postby Janie2006 » Sat May 26, 2007 4:34 pm

Who knows...it might be time for the "bear watch" icon shortly.
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#277 Postby Regit » Sat May 26, 2007 4:36 pm

Hey, look! Two bears watching!

Image
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#278 Postby Opal storm » Sat May 26, 2007 4:37 pm

Two Bears??? Dang we better watch out! :lol:
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#279 Postby Janie2006 » Sat May 26, 2007 4:37 pm

:roflmao:
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#280 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat May 26, 2007 4:38 pm

Regit wrote:Hey, look! Two bears watching!

Image



well at least they are looking thats what its all about !
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