Invest 97L Observation, Interpretation & Analysis (#2)

[Scorpion]

Wow, its looking nice tonight. I'm really liking this system. Probably the best I have seen all year.

[Stratosphere747]

folks, this system will be a depression by 11am thursday and will be a storm by 11pm thursday. I just got off the phone with my brother who is a meteorologist, and he says that a cat 2-3 is in the picture for the gulf, he said that a landfall in texas to lousiana is very possible. If the GFDL is predicting a 110mph hurrricane then we are in some trouble.... any comments?

Please have your sources come and make a viable forecast here, or give some link to their professional site....

sure ill give him a call on thursday and tell him to create a profile.

Until then, I can only ask from my personal standpoint that you do not cite your brother unless he can actually make his own verifiable forecast, especially if he is a pro-met...

A possible cat 2-3 in the Gulf, with a landfall in Texas or La. ; better have some sound synoptic backing..

Scott

[JonathanBelles]

im starting to get a bad feeling about this storm, my first feeling this year!

[DESTRUCTION5]

All this TX Talk again...Same thing happend with Chris...Where still trying to find him...

[hicksta]

Hey bro thats about 10 days out. If not more. So alot can change in that time.

[flyingphish]

Derek.. if you are still out there ? Are the models in intializing on a tropical wave or a tropical depression? Thanks .

[johngaltfla]

Look at all the storm tops surrounding the estimated center. Not good. If you enlarge the NRL photo, they really show up nicely.

[Rainband]

All this TX Talk again...Same thing happend with Chris...Where still trying to find him...

[JonathanBelles]

vortice(s)?

[SouthFloridawx]

817
ABNT20 KNHC 240213
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT WED AUG 23 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM DEBBY...LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 730
MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 230 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT NEAR 20 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM TO FORM ON THURSDAY. INTERESTS IN
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS
TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TOMORROW.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[jlauderdal]

I expect this bourd to really light up if this does become depression.

we are closing in on 50 pages for an invest, anything more and these servers come to a grinding halt

[MississippiHurricane]

WOW i was like 10 months old when Elena happened in 1985. Somehow i dont remember that LOL. Yea all we can do is watch prepair and hope for the best. We cant change nature no matter how hard we want to.

[Beam]

Everyone's getting a "bad feeling" here or sensing a "cat 5 in my bones" there. Enough already. Your brain and a little common sense can provide a much better forecast than your emotions alone.

[johngaltfla]

WOW i was like 10 months old when Elena happened in 1985. Somehow i dont remember that LOL. Yea all we can do is watch prepair and hope for the best. We cant change nature no matter how hard we want to.

Never hit near me and wiped out two of my favorite pier based restraunts.

Danged bleeping storm.

[JonathanBelles]

Everyone's getting a "bad feeling" here or sensing a "cat 5 in my bones" there. Enough already. Your brain and a little common sense can provide a much better forecast than your emotions alone.

im not feling a cat 5 but a hit that is not needed.

[Praxus]

Screw feelings...it looks good, the pro mets are bullish and the models are all over it.

I'm starting to get a 'feeling' too lol.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Wow! Now they say tomorrow we could have a TC from this. 97L has had the most exciting outlook out of all the other invests this year.

[cycloneye]

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

They dont have the words (If Necessary) at the TWO so they will fly tommorow afternoon.

[DESTRUCTION5]

I have a feeling whom Ernesto will slow drastically in the West Car...All bets are of on landfall of any location right now...I do think we will see a Major Cane at that point though..

[temujin]

Everyone's getting a "bad feeling" here or sensing a "cat 5 in my bones" there. Enough already. Your brain and a little common sense can provide a much better forecast than your emotions alone.

I both felt it in my bones and used my brain...