Expert forecasts for 2025 North Atlantic Hurricane Season

[chaser1]

I added Univ. of Arizona's forecast of 15/7/3 to the list. They did well last year.

Seems like very sound numbers. I'd be especially interested in their forecast methodology and thoughts that led to their forecast. Is there any link to that available?

[cycloneye]

I added Univ. of Arizona's forecast of 15/7/3 to the list. They did well last year.

Seems like very sound numbers. I'd be especially interested in their forecast methodology and thoughts that led to their forecast. Is there any link to that available?

Here it is.

https://has.arizona.edu/sites/default/f ... recast.pdf

[ncforecaster89]

WxProbe’s updated seasonal forecast:

FORECAST BY THE NUMBERS:

Named Storms………………….14-18 (16)
Hurricanes………………………….7-9 (8)
Major Hurricanes………………..3-5 (4)
ACE…………………………………110-160 (135)

These figures equate to a fairly normal season based on the past thirty-year (1995-2024) climatological average. That said, please keep in mind that this seasonal projection will be further refined by the middle of June…when I issue my definitive forecast that’s used for verification purposes.

Most recent 30 year (1995-2024) average: 15.9/7.8/3.6 (134.2).

https://x.com/tbrite89/status/1920203372889526501