Trough Not As Strong - early end to Season Not Likely
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- stormchazer
- Category 5
- Posts: 2462
- Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 12:00 pm
- Location: Lakeland, Florida
- Contact:
It was nice and cool this morning in Polk Co. You guys in Boca are just jealous.
0 likes
The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
- DESTRUCTION5
- Category 5
- Posts: 4423
- Age: 43
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
- Location: Stuart, FL
gatorcane wrote:I checked some other reports out of the midwest. Most were running about 5-7 degrees warmer than what was predicted.
The trough may have saved the EC from Helene but it was certainly nowhere near strong enough to shut down the Tropics.
I don't think it would of ever have been strong enough either way to shut down the tropics. As Chris said earlier in this thread, it typical to see troughs like this in September.
0 likes
- linkerweather
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 261
- Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:59 am
- Location: tampa bay area
Rainband wrote:The forecast was for lower humidity. No hype around here.gatorcane wrote:I would say this front was hyped up too much. The lowest it got at Boca Raton Airport was 73F at 6:47 AM. Even Ocala (in North Florida) stayed in the low 60s
And it felt good didn't it???
I drove my son to school today and the thermometer in my old lady minivan had 64!!!
And my forecast had been for lower humidity which would mean lower morning temps.
Additionally, I didn't think the front would reach S. Fl in time to affect this mornings lows. And with the wind expected to veer around to the east rather quickly, and onshore flow for Boca will mean not so cool mornings.
Edited to add....BKV (brooksville Southwest of Ocala) hit 56 this morning.
0 likes
- gatorcane
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23693
- Age: 47
- Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
- Location: Boca Raton, FL
linkerweather wrote:Rainband wrote:The forecast was for lower humidity. No hype around here.gatorcane wrote:I would say this front was hyped up too much. The lowest it got at Boca Raton Airport was 73F at 6:47 AM. Even Ocala (in North Florida) stayed in the low 60s
And it felt good didn't it???
I drove my son to school today and the thermometer in my old lady minivan had 64!!!
And my forecast had been for lower humidity which would mean lower morning temps.
Additionally, I didn't think the front would reach S. Fl in time to affect this mornings lows. And with the wind expected to veer around to the east rather quickly, and onshore flow for Boca will mean not so cool mornings.
Edited to add....BKV (brooksville Southwest of Ocala) hit 56 this morning.
Thanks Josh here is what NWS Miami said about it for South Florida:
FOR TODAY THROUGH SAT...FRONTAL BOUNDARY (CANNOT CALL IT A "COLD"
FRONT SINCE HIGHS TODAY WILL BE NOT TOO DIFFERENT TO WED THOUGH RH
A BIT LOWER FOR MOST OF CWA) SLOWLY MOVING S THROUGH INTO EXTREME
NW BROWARD AND COLLIER COUNTIES AT THE MOMENT. PUSH BEHIND BOUNDARY
DIMINISHING RAPIDLY...AND AT BEST...SYSTEM MAY CLEAR THE EXTREME S
TIP OF FLA...STALLING OVER THE KEYS AND CURVING NW INTO THE E GULF
OF MEX. THIS LEAVES A SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT ACROSS MIAMI-DADE AND
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY AS COMPARED TO N PORTIONS OF CWA
0 likes
-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
- StormTracker
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2903
- Age: 59
- Joined: Thu Jun 29, 2006 6:06 am
- Location: Quail Heights(Redlands), FL.
- SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
Not much of a cold front down here in these parts. I was expecting to wake up to some cooler temps but, that never happend.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KPBI.html
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KPBI.html
0 likes
- LAwxrgal
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1763
- Joined: Tue Jul 06, 2004 1:05 pm
- Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)
We had 60 degrees the other night for a low and 59 last night... but the clouds and humidity are back today. 

0 likes
Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends
Wake me up when November ends
Patrick99 wrote:Give me a good rainstorm every day of the year. I hate the sun.
You would not want that. I live in Ontario, and in the winter time we have lake effect snow but that also comes with non-stop overcast Sky's which is very depressing and dull. Sometimes we don't see the sun for 2 weeks

0 likes
- deltadog03
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 3580
- Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
- Location: Macon, GA
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: alan1961, CFLHurricane, kevin, TomballEd, weatherSnoop, wzrgirl1 and 88 guests