Gradual turn beginning?

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charleston_hugo_veteran
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#61 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:08 pm

ldelatorre wrote:Flolks, it's a lot easier to track the eye on the IR float loop. The last four frames (19:15 through 21:15) do appear to move in the NW direction.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


I agree!!
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tampastorm
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#62 Postby tampastorm » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:10 pm

The NW movement is quite clear now. For now anyway.
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Anonymous

#63 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:40 pm

Definitely not moving 315 (NW at this moment). Still a WNW movement towards the channel.
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PTrackerLA
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#64 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:43 pm

It's taken a north wobble in the last 2 frames but this doesn't mean it's turning. Storms like these stair step, from all indications it's still heading WNW. Stop the madness and wait for the REAL turn!
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Anonymous

#65 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:45 pm

All you have to do is draw a line from the eyes position at the beginning of the frame to the eye's position at the end of the frame, that determines the true motion.
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calidoug
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#66 Postby calidoug » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:48 pm

It's been about 3 hours of 280, followed by 3 hours of 315.

Is it a wobble, or the turn?

Stay tuned. We have 5.5 hours until the eclipse.
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kevin

#67 Postby kevin » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:50 pm

Not the eclipse... nooo... oh wait, I'll be sleeping. =)
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Derek Ortt

#68 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:53 pm

there's a concentric eye here. We need to watch the entire eye, not the inner eye that is bound to collapse soon, anyways.

The 4 hour motion is about 300, still WNW
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tronbunny
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#69 Postby tronbunny » Sun Sep 12, 2004 6:22 pm

kevin wrote:Not the eclipse... nooo... oh wait, I'll be sleeping. =)

Now there's a sensible man!
:-)
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banshee
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#70 Postby banshee » Sun Sep 12, 2004 6:27 pm

Jeez, some of you spat more than a middle school cheerleading squad. Can you imagine how much us 'newbies' would learn and possibly add to the forum if you spent all this energy answering question like this

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=44388

instead of nipping at each others heels.

Derek, AirforceMet and all the others who give valid information and take time to give explainations, thank you. Your knowledge is greatly appreciated.
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Matthew5

#71 Postby Matthew5 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 6:27 pm

Derek, I think once the outer eyewall starts tighting up. This hurricane might be as strong, if not a little stronger then last night?
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