Gradual turn beginning?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
charleston_hugo_veteran
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1590
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 12:47 pm
Location: Charleston, S.C.

#61 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:08 pm

ldelatorre wrote:Flolks, it's a lot easier to track the eye on the IR float loop. The last four frames (19:15 through 21:15) do appear to move in the NW direction.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


I agree!!
0 likes   
Top
tampastorm
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 434
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: TAMPA

#62 Postby tampastorm » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:10 pm

The NW movement is quite clear now. For now anyway.
0 likes   
Top
Anonymous

#63 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:40 pm

Definitely not moving 315 (NW at this moment). Still a WNW movement towards the channel.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5280
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#64 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:43 pm

It's taken a north wobble in the last 2 frames but this doesn't mean it's turning. Storms like these stair step, from all indications it's still heading WNW. Stop the madness and wait for the REAL turn!
0 likes   
Top
Anonymous

#65 Postby Anonymous » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:45 pm

All you have to do is draw a line from the eyes position at the beginning of the frame to the eye's position at the end of the frame, that determines the true motion.
0 likes   
Top
calidoug
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 480
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:13 pm

#66 Postby calidoug » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:48 pm

It's been about 3 hours of 280, followed by 3 hours of 315.

Is it a wobble, or the turn?

Stay tuned. We have 5.5 hours until the eclipse.
0 likes   
Top
kevin

#67 Postby kevin » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:50 pm

Not the eclipse... nooo... oh wait, I'll be sleeping. =)
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#68 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Sep 12, 2004 5:53 pm

there's a concentric eye here. We need to watch the entire eye, not the inner eye that is bound to collapse soon, anyways.

The 4 hour motion is about 300, still WNW
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tronbunny
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1558
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:18 am
Location: Central FL

#69 Postby tronbunny » Sun Sep 12, 2004 6:22 pm

kevin wrote:Not the eclipse... nooo... oh wait, I'll be sleeping. =)

Now there's a sensible man!
:-)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
banshee
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 131
Joined: Fri Aug 27, 2004 4:09 am
Location: Guilford County, NC

#70 Postby banshee » Sun Sep 12, 2004 6:27 pm

Jeez, some of you spat more than a middle school cheerleading squad. Can you imagine how much us 'newbies' would learn and possibly add to the forum if you spent all this energy answering question like this

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=44388

instead of nipping at each others heels.

Derek, AirforceMet and all the others who give valid information and take time to give explainations, thank you. Your knowledge is greatly appreciated.
0 likes   
Top
Matthew5

#71 Postby Matthew5 » Sun Sep 12, 2004 6:27 pm

Derek, I think once the outer eyewall starts tighting up. This hurricane might be as strong, if not a little stronger then last night?
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot] and 344 guests