Eyes on the BOC!

[Extremeweatherguy]

JB is now really biting. He said it will turn north tomorrow and at the VERY LEAST it will be a heavy rain maker for TX, but he said there is a chance it could become a TS or even Hurricane! He continued to mention 54' and 99', and both those years featured nice storms in the western Gulf (Ex. Breat in 99'). Looks like this has good potential...I just hope we don't get surprised by it rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane or something. THAT would be bad.

whoa. Hold on a minute here. It's not even a depression yet. It's premature to say the least that this could become a major storm.

Oh, I know. I was just saying that i hope we don't have a Bret repeat where this thing rapidly explodes.

Does this "area" have any model support. I haven't seen anything. I guess we will have to see if it persists. Hope The area's of Texas that have recieved too much rain don't get too much more. I also hope the areas that need it get at least some. See I try to make everyone happy. Stay safe my western friends.

No, most of the models ran before this thing really took off. New models should be coming in later this afternoon though. Can't wait to see what they say.

[Rainband]

JB says he won't make his official "call" on what the system will do until tomorrow. I am anxious to see what he says then.

He is waiting for it to persist. Thats a smart call IMO

[HurricaneHunter914]

It can still significantly develop as long as the center stays away from land.

[gatorcane]

JB says he won't make his official "call" on what the system will do until tomorrow. I am anxious to see what he says then.

He is waiting for it to persist. Thats a smart call IMO

Will it be mentioned in today's TWO?

[no advance]

94l now check it out

[gatorcane]

94l now check it out

time to change the title! here we go folks

94L

[no advance]

http://152.80.49.216/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi They are seeing somethng.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Wow. I can't believe we went from nothing to Invest 94L in just 6 hours.

[gatorcane]

the board is going to go crazy especially those along the western gulf coast

[JamesFromMaine2]

also pressures are falling slowly away from the possible center and winds are gusting to around 30mph away from the center

is that better or worse for development of the storm

well if pressures are droping away from the center then chances are they are droping in the center and so thats good for development!

[Portastorm]

JB is now really biting. He said it will turn north tomorrow and at the VERY LEAST it will be a heavy rain maker for TX, but he said there is a chance it could become a TS or even Hurricane! He continued to mention 54' and 99', and both those years featured nice storms in the western Gulf (Ex. Breat in 99'). Looks like this has good potential...I just hope we don't get surprised by it rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane or something. THAT would be bad.

He could be right, it depends how fast the storm is moving north. If its moving less than 10 mph it will have the chance to become a hurricane. If its moving over 10 mph probably a strong tropical storm. Remember the water in the GOM is extremely hot.

Yeah but remember there's strong shear eventually as you move further north.

I'd be curious to see what shear forecasts say for the weekend. Some are suggesting the shear relaxes more into the weekend. That would spell trouble.

[gatorcane]

maybe we should lock this thread as 94L thread now exists

[Opal storm]

This could beat 93L at becoming Beryl,but I definitely don't see this becoming a hurricane,a td/weak ts sounds more likely.Let's see how long this blow-up of convection lasts.

[southerngale]

maybe we should lock this thread as 94L thread now exists

No reason to lock it. Someone may want to quote something from here and if it doesn't generate interest, it will fall to the bottom on its own.

[Yankeegirl]

Wow... I did yardwork and came back to this thing in the GUlf becoming an invest!! Go figure! I can say that the day here started off nice andd sunny and clear, now its mostly overcast.... Guess I will keep a heads up on this one...

[TexasF6]

Buoys? Anybody have any buoys for me????

[Stratosphere747]

Buoys? Anybody have any buoys for me????

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/maps/WestGulf.shtml

[JamesFromMaine2]

Heres a bouy and some land reports from near the center! some areas are down to 1012 mb from about 1015mb earlyer this afternoon and the bouy which is well north of the center started out with a pressure of 1018 and is now down to 1016

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMCE.html
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMVA.html
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMMT.html
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=E&tz=EST

[canegrl04]

Crap! You stay away from the board for a day and look what happens Lets see if this becomes Beryl,and a hurricane at that.

[PTrackerLA]

It sure did come up fast but let's see what happens over night. We desperately need the rain around here so send that moisture this way!