Invest 97L North of V.I,Puerto Rico,Models,Sats and Comments
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- cycloneye
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wxman57,try to pinpoint the area that NHC says there is a small low,70 miles ENE of Barbuda and with the great images that you have tell us if there is something there.
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- gatorcane
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it had better find the weakness soon as the GFS is calling for a big ridge to build in across the eastern CONUS starting in about 96 hours. Here is the 144 hour GFS:
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... hour=144hr
http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi ... hour=144hr
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- wxman57
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cycloneye wrote:wxman57,try to pinpoint the area that NHC says there is a small low,70 miles ENE of Barbuda and with the great images that you have tell us if there is something there.
I don't see any low center (implies a circulation). Just a thunderstorm "blob". Here's a close-up satellite with surface obs. Winds 5-10 kts around the blob, no circulation evident.

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Dynamic wrote:For those like me that is the first time that heard about Barbuda. It is a small island part on Antigua, the small island north of Antigua in the map.
Dynamic, good for you for having the question and then finding the answer and then thoughtfully providing a visual for the island of Barbuda to educate others. KUDOS!!!
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- wxman57
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Here's a really close-up McIDAS shot. No evidence of any rotation. Just building and collapsing thunderstorms.
http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/joyce4.gif
http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/joyce4.gif
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- Blown Away
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- AtlanticWind
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wxman57 wrote:Here's a really close-up McIDAS shot. No evidence of any rotation. Just building and collapsing thunderstorms.
http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/joyce4.gif
The sat pic you posted looks like their is a evidence of rotation , banded low clouds and a circular shape.
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- HurricaneMaster_PR
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NHC latest Surface Analysis Chart passes this low pressure area through Puerto Rico during the next 24 hours.
12Z Surface Analysis Chart
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/ATSA_12Z.gif
12Z Surface Analysis Chart
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/ATSA_12Z.gif
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- Blown Away
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HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:NHC latest Surface Analysis Chart passes this low pressure area through Puerto Rico during the next 24 hours.
12Z Surface Analysis Chart
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/ATSA_12Z.gif
The current models would have to be thrown out, because none even come close to PR.
http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php
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- AtlanticWind
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-vis.html
Looking at visible loop a closed circulation is evident, The question is can this system keep firing convection.
Looking at visible loop a closed circulation is evident, The question is can this system keep firing convection.
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- Blown Away
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