Watching western GOM

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tailgater
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Watching western GOM

#1 Postby tailgater » Mon Sep 15, 2008 2:48 pm

Please tell me this has no chance of development. No mas No mas I need some clear skies and NW winds for at least a week And I'm sure I'm not the only one. :D
The GFS has some VERY weak low pressure in the GOM for a good while.
http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherIm ... e_anim.gif
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation
Last edited by tailgater on Mon Sep 15, 2008 10:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Steve H.
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Re: Complex east of Brownsville

#2 Postby Steve H. » Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:44 pm

Yes, the 12z ECM has a storm in the wetern GOM late in the extended period h=240.
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Re: Complex east of Brownsville

#3 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Sep 15, 2008 6:19 pm

I was about to make a topic about this...We have a washed out front hanging around in the GOM..it's that time of year to watch them. Need to watch if low pressure tries to spin up on the tail end...

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#4 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Sep 15, 2008 6:33 pm

I noticed the 12Z CMC spins up a closed low late this week into the weekend, but then the CMC spins up TC's somewhere everyday.
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Re: Complex east of Brownsville

#5 Postby tailgater » Mon Sep 15, 2008 10:42 pm

ECWMF also has a TC in this region but not till late in the cycle so plenty of time change.
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 8091512!!/
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Re: Watching western GOM

#6 Postby LaBreeze » Mon Sep 15, 2008 11:42 pm

Local met mentioned tonight that there may be something to "watch" in the BOC in the next 6 to 9 days. I don't want to hear that, see that, smell that, feel that, or live that! :cry:
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Re: Watching western GOM

#7 Postby Portastorm » Tue Sep 16, 2008 6:49 am

JB has been suggesting in his last few blog updates that the WGOM is the place to watch right now for "home brew." He said that a frontal boundary in the Gulf followed by a major Western trough is recipe for trouble.

The 0z GFS also suggests a hint of some lower level vorticity by 72 hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_85v_078l.gif

Regardless, whatever forms down there ... IF something forms down there ... it's not going anywhere anytime soon. The flow from 2050mb to 500 mb is strong from the west, at least in most of the WGOM.
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