The GFS has some VERY weak low pressure in the GOM for a good while.
http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherIm ... e_anim.gif
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation
Watching western GOM
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Watching western GOM
Please tell me this has no chance of development. No mas No mas I need some clear skies and NW winds for at least a week And I'm sure I'm not the only one.
The GFS has some VERY weak low pressure in the GOM for a good while.
http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherIm ... e_anim.gif
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation
The GFS has some VERY weak low pressure in the GOM for a good while.
http://images.intellicast.com/WeatherIm ... e_anim.gif
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation
Last edited by tailgater on Mon Sep 15, 2008 10:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Complex east of Brownsville
Yes, the 12z ECM has a storm in the wetern GOM late in the extended period h=240.
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Ivanhater
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Re: Complex east of Brownsville
I was about to make a topic about this...We have a washed out front hanging around in the GOM..it's that time of year to watch them. Need to watch if low pressure tries to spin up on the tail end...
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Dean4Storms
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Re: Complex east of Brownsville
ECWMF also has a TC in this region but not till late in the cycle so plenty of time change.
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 8091512!!/
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 8091512!!/
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Re: Watching western GOM
Local met mentioned tonight that there may be something to "watch" in the BOC in the next 6 to 9 days. I don't want to hear that, see that, smell that, feel that, or live that! 
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Portastorm
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Re: Watching western GOM
JB has been suggesting in his last few blog updates that the WGOM is the place to watch right now for "home brew." He said that a frontal boundary in the Gulf followed by a major Western trough is recipe for trouble.
The 0z GFS also suggests a hint of some lower level vorticity by 72 hours:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_85v_078l.gif
Regardless, whatever forms down there ... IF something forms down there ... it's not going anywhere anytime soon. The flow from 2050mb to 500 mb is strong from the west, at least in most of the WGOM.
The 0z GFS also suggests a hint of some lower level vorticity by 72 hours:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_85v_078l.gif
Regardless, whatever forms down there ... IF something forms down there ... it's not going anywhere anytime soon. The flow from 2050mb to 500 mb is strong from the west, at least in most of the WGOM.
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