Blob at 30w (Is invest 90L)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Blob at 30w (Is invest 90L)

#1 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jul 28, 2010 11:05 pm

Since this is not the wave in Cycloneye's thread "Wave emerging off Africa" it should be discussed separately.

This has not been identified as a wave on the surface map so I will call it a blob for now.

Extremely cold cloud tops and ASCAT is indicating a low pressure area forming...

Image

[img]Image[/img]
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
AtlanticWind
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1890
Age: 66
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 9:57 pm
Location: Plantation,Fla

Re: Blob at 30w

#2 Postby AtlanticWind » Wed Jul 28, 2010 11:10 pm

Some Intense thunderstorms with this , we will see if the models pick up on this area.
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6367
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Re: Blob at 30w

#3 Postby boca » Wed Jul 28, 2010 11:27 pm

Someone posted earlier that the reason why this area is sustaining itself is because its still attached to the ITCZ. Lets see if it fizzles or starts to gain latitude in the next few days.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38095
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Blob at 30w

#4 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 28, 2010 11:30 pm

Looks REALLY good IMO.
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
MHurricanes
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 102
Age: 73
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2008 2:05 pm
Location: Altamonte Springs, FL
Contact:

Re: Blob at 30w

#5 Postby MHurricanes » Wed Jul 28, 2010 11:45 pm

If this "blob" stays together and gains some latitude, we may see some cyclonic turning. It is deprived of the Coriolis effect at its current low latitude.

- MHurricanes
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Blob at 30w

#6 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jul 28, 2010 11:47 pm

Someone forgot to tell this blob we are in a downward pulse of the MJO :wink:

Image
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
Riptide
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 753
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Cape May, New Jersey
Contact:

Re: Blob at 30w

#7 Postby Riptide » Wed Jul 28, 2010 11:59 pm

So, when is this ITCZ blob going to poof? :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Blob at 30w

#8 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 12:01 am

Riptide wrote:So, when is this ITCZ blob going to poof? :lol:


My bet is it still will, but you really can't be sure in the tropics...
0 likes   
Michael

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: Blob at 30w

#9 Postby Sanibel » Thu Jul 29, 2010 12:12 am

Something says poof to me too like all the other promising waves, but that black IR is making me wonder.
0 likes   

hurricaneCW
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2010 6:20 am
Location: Toms River, NJ

Re: Blob at 30w

#10 Postby hurricaneCW » Thu Jul 29, 2010 12:18 am

It's too far south right now to indicate anything more than it being just part of the ITCZ. Very few storms ever develop south of 10N (Ivan strongly comes to mind), but several do break out of the ITCZ and develop. There is a lot of activity so something can happen. The wave east of the Leewards has a better shot of doing something than this blob. That ones really popping tonight.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Blob at 30w

#11 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 12:30 am

Loop

Image
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
TwisterFanatic
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1041
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:43 pm
Location: Sallisaw, Oklahoma

#12 Postby TwisterFanatic » Thu Jul 29, 2010 12:31 am

Looks to me the convection is the strongest it has ever been.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145518
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Blob at 30w

#13 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 29, 2010 12:33 am

Hmmm,no mention at 2 AM TWO.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Blob at 30w

#14 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 12:47 am

cycloneye wrote:Hmmm,no mention at 2 AM TWO.


It's just so pretty, should at least get a 0 percent :lol:

If it hold together through the morning it will most likely get a nod

Image
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Blob at 30w

#15 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jul 29, 2010 1:14 am

Image
0 likes   
Michael

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38095
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Blob at 30w

#16 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:30 am

I'm sorry, but how is this wave NOT getting any mention in the TWO? It makes Bonnie look like nothing(ok so it kind of was, but still). :lol:
0 likes   
#neversummer

Florida1118

Re: Blob at 30w

#17 Postby Florida1118 » Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:35 am

They could be trying to save their energy for the times ahead.Maybe in the beginning of the season they just wanted to show off there percentages. :D
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#18 Postby KWT » Thu Jul 29, 2010 5:00 am

Not sure why this is being ignored, its held the same presentation, if this was in the Gulf we'd have probably had recon into it by now!
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Cryomaniac
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1289
Joined: Tue Aug 15, 2006 2:26 pm
Location: Newark, Nottinghamshire, UK
Contact:

#19 Postby Cryomaniac » Thu Jul 29, 2010 6:35 am

I'm guessing that it's being ignored because it's too near the equator and still part of the ITCZ.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145518
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Blob at 30w

#20 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 29, 2010 6:42 am

And still no mention at the 8 AM TWO.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Beef Stew, chaser1, Cpv17, cycloneye, ElectricStorm, ineedsnow, Landy, StormWeather, StPeteMike, Stratton23, Ulf and 45 guests