TD #10 Model Map up

[Scott_inVA]

Probs still with ingesting but TPC and 18Z GFS up for now. Best I can do ATTM.

Scott

http://www.wrel.com/modelmap.htm

[DelStormLover]

If the Avn is correct,it looks like TS Fabian makes a NJ-MA landfall,ala Connie or Diane

[wxman57]

I wouldn't assume that at all, DelStormLover. The track could be off by 1000+ miles by the end point. Note that the GFS (AVN) had forecast several other storms to head up your way AT FIRST, but high pressure built off the east coast and shoved them west across Florida and into the Gulf. I'm not saying that TD 10/Fabian will do that, but the odds of it following that initial track are pretty low.

[DelStormLover]

I Was merely suggesting that if THAT ONE run of the AVN is correct, Fabian may make a NE landfall

[Stephanie]

Something that bears watching for us, that's for sure Delstormlover! :o

If I recall correctly with the AVN/MRF, aka GFS, during this past winter, the long term and short term forecasts are usually pretty similar while the medium range forecast is usually the one that totally throws out the storm altogether.

[Scott_inVA]

Finally have hurricane models loading. GFS is shown. NOGAPS and other globals (including worthless UKie) remain a problem.

Scott

http://www.wrel.com/modelmap.htm[/quote]