TD #10 Model Map up

Scott_inVA · #1 Postby **Scott_inVA** » Wed Aug 27, 2003 5:14 pm

Probs still with ingesting but TPC and 18Z GFS up for now. Best I can do ATTM.

Scott

http://www.wrel.com/modelmap.htm

DelStormLover · #2 Postby **DelStormLover** » Wed Aug 27, 2003 5:38 pm

If the Avn is correct,it looks like TS Fabian makes a NJ-MA landfall,ala Connie or Diane

#3 Postby **wxman57** » Wed Aug 27, 2003 5:46 pm

I wouldn't assume that at all, DelStormLover. The track could be off by 1000+ miles by the end point. Note that the GFS (AVN) had forecast several other storms to head up your way AT FIRST, but high pressure built off the east coast and shoved them west across Florida and into the Gulf. I'm not saying that TD 10/Fabian will do that, but the odds of it following that initial track are pretty low.

DelStormLover · #4 Postby **DelStormLover** » Wed Aug 27, 2003 5:50 pm

I Was merely suggesting that if THAT ONE run of the AVN is correct, Fabian may make a NE landfall

#5 Postby **Stephanie** » Wed Aug 27, 2003 7:44 pm

Something that bears watching for us, that's for sure Delstormlover! :o

If I recall correctly with the AVN/MRF, aka GFS, during this past winter, the long term and short term forecasts are usually pretty similar while the medium range forecast is usually the one that totally throws out the storm altogether.

Scott_inVA · #6 Postby **Scott_inVA** » Wed Aug 27, 2003 10:03 pm

Finally have hurricane models loading. GFS is shown. NOGAPS and other globals (including worthless UKie) remain a problem.

Scott

http://www.wrel.com/modelmap.htm[/quote]

TD #10 Model Map up

TD #10 Model Map up

Caution

Re: TD #10 Model Map up

Who is online