Cyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

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rolltide
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Cyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

#1 Postby rolltide » Tue Jul 22, 2014 8:58 am

Any chance this drops south into the GOM?
Last edited by tolakram on Tue Jul 22, 2014 11:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: updated title
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Re: Aanticyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

#2 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Jul 22, 2014 9:01 am

It is an Upper Level Low. This feature is retrograding westward along the coast as the Bermuda High builds back in from the SW Atlantic. I am not anticipating development from this ULL at this time.
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#3 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Jul 22, 2014 9:11 am

It looks like it has been sliding a little further south. If it makes it to the GOM I don't think it will be around long enough to sink to the surface.
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#4 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Jul 22, 2014 9:17 am

The ULL may be currently drifting a little south of west, but eventually will likely move or drift more westward right along the coast of MS and into LA as the ridge will build in from the east.
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Re: Aanticyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

#5 Postby fwbbreeze » Tue Jul 22, 2014 9:40 am

It does appear to be upper level...but the storms along the coast are rotating towards the center.
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Re: Aanticyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

#6 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Jul 22, 2014 9:50 am

fwbbreeze wrote:It does appear to be upper level...but the storms along the coast are rotating towards the center.


Noticed that too!

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Re: Aanticyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

#7 Postby Hammy » Tue Jul 22, 2014 10:40 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/mob/mflash-rgb.html

If you check the wind box, it appears that there is a very weak surface reflection.
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#8 Postby djones65 » Tue Jul 22, 2014 11:35 am

Title needs to be changed... In northern hemisphere low pressure spins CYCLONICALLY, not "anti-cyclonic."

And yes, 12Z surface analysis depicts 1016-1017 mb surface low vertically stacked with the upper level circulation and progged to move west southwest along the coast.
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Re:

#9 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Jul 22, 2014 11:40 am

djones65 wrote:Title needs to be changed... In northern hemisphere low pressure spins CYCLONICALLY, not "anti-cyclonic."

And yes, 12Z surface analysis depicts 1016-1017 mb surface low vertically stacked with the upper level circulation and progged to move west southwest along the coast.

Knew something didn't look right 8-)
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#10 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Jul 22, 2014 12:23 pm

I'd say if this were to go over the GoM and sink to the surface fully it would have more potential and better conditions than what TD #2 is about to face. SST's in the the GoM are the warmest throughout the ENTIRE Atlantic basin at this time, some spots are at the 90°F mark.
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Re: Cyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

#11 Postby fwbbreeze » Tue Jul 22, 2014 1:30 pm

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Re: Cyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

#12 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Jul 23, 2014 6:53 am

The low is still hanging around and looks to be in the area of Houma La.

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Re: Cyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

#13 Postby CFLHurricane » Wed Jul 23, 2014 8:43 am

My amateur eyes would buy that this could be something.

Certainly more interesting than TD#2.
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Re: Cyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

#14 Postby tailgater » Wed Jul 23, 2014 9:12 am

Well it's a LITTLE something to watch. IF it hangs around down there long enough the 850 mb vorticity seems to be increasing a bit. Pressure looks to be steady or rising ATTM.
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Re: Cyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

#15 Postby cigtyme » Wed Jul 23, 2014 10:01 am

Yep it seems to be centered on my house at the moment.
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