Cyclonic spin centered over Mobile bay

[rolltide]

Any chance this drops south into the GOM?

[northjaxpro]

It is an Upper Level Low. This feature is retrograding westward along the coast as the Bermuda High builds back in from the SW Atlantic. I am not anticipating development from this ULL at this time.

[tropicwatch]

It looks like it has been sliding a little further south. If it makes it to the GOM I don't think it will be around long enough to sink to the surface.

[northjaxpro]

The ULL may be currently drifting a little south of west, but eventually will likely move or drift more westward right along the coast of MS and into LA as the ridge will build in from the east.

[fwbbreeze]

It does appear to be upper level...but the storms along the coast are rotating towards the center.

[tropicwatch]

It does appear to be upper level...but the storms along the coast are rotating towards the center.

Noticed that too!

[Hammy]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/wfo/mob/mflash-rgb.html

If you check the wind box, it appears that there is a very weak surface reflection.

[djones65]

Title needs to be changed... In northern hemisphere low pressure spins CYCLONICALLY, not "anti-cyclonic."

And yes, 12Z surface analysis depicts 1016-1017 mb surface low vertically stacked with the upper level circulation and progged to move west southwest along the coast.

[tropicwatch]

Title needs to be changed... In northern hemisphere low pressure spins CYCLONICALLY, not "anti-cyclonic."

And yes, 12Z surface analysis depicts 1016-1017 mb surface low vertically stacked with the upper level circulation and progged to move west southwest along the coast.

Knew something didn't look right

[TheStormExpert]

I'd say if this were to go over the GoM and sink to the surface fully it would have more potential and better conditions than what TD #2 is about to face. SST's in the the GoM are the warmest throughout the ENTIRE Atlantic basin at this time, some spots are at the 90°F mark.

[fwbbreeze]

a rotation of the afternoon tstorms for sure!


http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=MOB&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

[tropicwatch]

The low is still hanging around and looks to be in the area of Houma La.

[CFLHurricane]

My amateur eyes would buy that this could be something.

Certainly more interesting than TD#2.

[tailgater]

Well it's a LITTLE something to watch. IF it hangs around down there long enough the 850 mb vorticity seems to be increasing a bit. Pressure looks to be steady or rising ATTM.

[cigtyme]

Yep it seems to be centered on my house at the moment.