More Northward Track?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

More Northward Track?

#1 Postby chris_fit » Thu Sep 11, 2003 12:19 am

Izzy apears to be wobbling more to the north last few frames eh? Any comments or reasons? Is this more than a wobble?

~Chris
0 likes   
Top
Floridacane
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 26
Joined: Mon Apr 21, 2003 9:46 pm
Location: Palm Bay, Florida
Contact:
Contact Floridacane

#2 Postby Floridacane » Thu Sep 11, 2003 12:28 am

You're gonna find a lot of wobbles with a storm of this intensity. I think what we're both seeing is maybe the eye "repositioning, also Isabel looks like she is tightening up a bit, that could be another reason behind the little wobble.
Just my very amateur opinion!
0 likes   
Top
FenrisTS
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 12
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:46 am
Location: Palm Bay, Fl.

yah

#3 Postby FenrisTS » Thu Sep 11, 2003 12:31 am

nhc discussion saying it would move motion just north of due west. why they didn't say possibly because of the ull still to the west. in any even it does mean it will be at a higher latitude than previous thought 5 days from now and when/IF it encounters a weakness or weaker ridge towrds the west around 70w-80w it will probably move even more to the north
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#4 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 12:44 am

Hello Chris and welcome to Storm2K. Glad to have you join us. :D

The general movement of Hurricane Isabel is due west. The current forecast is for this movement to continue with an eventually turn more to the WNW (again) which may lead to a Florida peninsula landfall.

All moderate to especially intense hurricanes wobble at least to some degree.

So, I believe that there will be wobble and some slightly north of due west movement until either the ridge breaks down some and/or the trough to the storm's west pick up speed.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Thu Sep 11, 2003 12:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

:)

#5 Postby chris_fit » Thu Sep 11, 2003 12:45 am

Thanks for the welcome ColdFront!

Just switched to Meteorology Major @ Florida Tech in Melbourne! You'll be seeing more of me here for sure! Maybe I'll get a chance to do a little studying of this storm if it approaches my area. What would be the chances of that? I know it's still far out but I'm still curious

Cheers!

~Chris
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Sep 11, 2003 1:55 am

Nice, Chris!

My brother Chris lives in Melbourne, he attended graduate school at West Virginia University, after graduating from the a state college in the town we grew up in in Massachusetts.

I spent a week in early March and a week late last month in Melbourne. Nice city there. :)
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 21 guests