How many more storms will we have this year..?

Josephine96 · #1 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Sep 18, 2003 8:08 pm

At the beginning of the year.. I predicted {at the other board} 14 named storms by seasons' end..

Well we've had 9... That means we would have to have 5 more storms to get to my prediction..

Normally my predictions turn out to be very close.. I don't know about 5 more storms.. I think we'll have 3.. maybe even 4.. but not 5...

The rest of the year will be interesting... I wonder when Juan and Kate are coming lol

#2 Postby **JtSmarts** » Thu Sep 18, 2003 8:19 pm

I think it is possible we may have an active October or November and see 5-6 more storms, but I am going on the safe side and will say probably 3-4 more.

Josephine96 · #3 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Sep 18, 2003 8:32 pm

Yeah.. I think 5 would be stretching it a little.. 3 or even 4 but I dont know about 5...

Colin · #4 Postby **Colin** » Thu Sep 18, 2003 8:37 pm

I'm thinking 2-3 more storms for this year.

Wolfman21 · #5 Postby **Wolfman21** » Thu Sep 18, 2003 8:41 pm

any that could make landfall around the carolina coast again?

Josephine96 · #6 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Sep 18, 2003 8:45 pm

Wolfman... I think keyword is think.. this will be you guys only storm this year.. I expect any other storms may make direct hits on the Gulf or even here in Florida...

Just a gut intuition though.. we shall see..

#7 Postby **JtSmarts** » Thu Sep 18, 2003 8:49 pm

It seems unlikely to me that any cape verde storms would come near the mid atlantic or ne because of the wake left behind by Isabel and Fabian jmho.

#8 Postby **wxman57** » Thu Sep 18, 2003 9:54 pm

The season is just barely beyond mid point, now. I think we'll have at least 1 more storm in September - maybe 2. And 2-3 storms in October. Maybe 1 in November.

And I still think the Gulf isn't done yet. I'm looking for a late September/early October development in the NW Caribbean that affects the eastern Gulf & Florida. Could be a major storm.

JetMaxx · #9 Postby **JetMaxx** » Thu Sep 18, 2003 10:27 pm

You could be right wxman57....there is a lot of HHP lurking south of Cuba....and we've seen quite a few intense hurricanes in October (and Lenny in November) since 1995. Southern Florida has been extremely fortunate so far....but historically, October is second only to September in major hurricane landfalls on the peninsula.

AussieMark · #10 Postby **AussieMark** » Fri Sep 19, 2003 2:54 am

Major Hurricanes formation in October and November in recent years

<B>October</B>
1995 - Opal, Roxanne
1996 - Lili
1998 - Mitch
2000 - Keith
2001 - Iris
2002 - Lili

<B>November</B>
1999 - Lenny
2001 - Michelle

How many more storms will we have this year..?

How many more storms will we have this year..?

4-5

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