Looks like the EPAC is...

[Typhoon_Willie]

increasing in convection today...Would that have anything to do with the progression of the MJO?

[HURAKAN]

Something have to get going because they are really behind in schedule. At this time of the year they should be around the letter "C".

[Anonymous]

YES. But does this non-active East Pac mean the Atlantic will be EXTRA ACTIVE?

[chadtm80]

Looks VERY juicy



Full satellite Page http://www.storm2k.org/weather/tropsat.html

[Anonymous]

Yes, the negative MJO that has helped produced all the recent typhoons is now edging into the EPAC. Models pick up on (but aren't eager to develop) the main area of convection just east of 110ºW...so if it becomes anything I doubt it'll be significant. However, the GFS, NOGAPS, and UKMET are all starting to show a more potent TC to develop south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec later in the forecast period...I'd like to see model consistency and other models jump in such as ECMWF before I get too excited about it though. In any case...I'll be rather surprised if we don't see EPAC development in the next 2 weeks given the MJO combined with the time of the year.