COULD FRANCES wind down over water?

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COULD FRANCES wind down over water?

#1 Postby rainstorm » Fri Sep 03, 2004 5:56 pm

called the helicopter effect. a copter cant hover in the same place forever because the rotor blades disrupt the air around the copter and eventually it will fall to earth and crash. even if upwelling doesnt hurt frances, if it doesnt move soon, it may continue to weaken anyway.
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Re: COULD FRANCES wind down over water?

#2 Postby mobilebay » Fri Sep 03, 2004 5:59 pm

rainstorm wrote:called the helicopter effect. a copter cant hover in the same place forever because the rotor blades disrupt the air around the copter and eventually it will fall to earth and crash. even if upwelling doesnt hurt frances, if it doesnt move soon, it may continue to weaken anyway.

If it was to weaken furher it what be because of upper air conditions. It is over some very warm water. Plus the models move it on out before you scenerio could unfold.
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#3 Postby rainstorm » Fri Sep 03, 2004 6:03 pm

good point of course
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#4 Postby mobilebay » Fri Sep 03, 2004 6:07 pm

rainstorm wrote:good point of course

Rainstorm I hope you did not take my comment the wrong way. That is my opinion. Who knows you may be correct, you pretty good with the tropica also.
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#5 Postby rainstorm » Fri Sep 03, 2004 6:23 pm

not at all. it may have already started moving again
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#6 Postby siobhan222 » Fri Sep 03, 2004 6:25 pm

What I wish is that the NHC could give us a little more frequent updates so we'd have a clue what's going on. At this point, I don't think it's asking too much for hourly updates.
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#7 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 03, 2004 6:30 pm

siobhan222 wrote:What I wish is that the NHC could give us a little more frequent updates so we'd have a clue what's going on. At this point, I don't think it's asking too much for hourly updates.


2-hour advisories will probably start early tomorrow with hourly updated positions.
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#8 Postby mobilebay » Fri Sep 03, 2004 6:32 pm

siobhan222 wrote:What I wish is that the NHC could give us a little more frequent updates so we'd have a clue what's going on. At this point, I don't think it's asking too much for hourly updates.

note- the nhc only gives hourly updates when a distinct eye is visible on radar. that clearly is not the case.
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