Ivan t number=6.0

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Ivan t number=6.0

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:21 pm

05/2345 UTC 10.6N 48.4W T6.0/6.0 IVAN -- Atlantic Ocean


Will it be a cat 5? :eek:
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
lilbump3000
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 966
Age: 38
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Contact:
Contact lilbump3000

#2 Postby lilbump3000 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:22 pm

I think at this rate it could very well be our first cat. 5 storm of this season.
0 likes   
Top
Guest

#3 Postby Guest » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:24 pm

it looks stronger than that....
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#4 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:26 pm

This is just unreal. I feel like I'm in a dream... :eek:
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
opera ghost
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 909
Joined: Mon Sep 08, 2003 4:40 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#5 Postby opera ghost » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:28 pm

This vaguely reminds me of watching Isabel form up- it was oh so very pretty- but heading towards land. (completly different tracks)

It was heartstoppingly beautiful and at the same time- utterly terrifying.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1545
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#6 Postby bahamaswx » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:30 pm

7.0 = 140kts, Cat5
0 likes   
Top
Terry
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1450
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:25 pm
Location: Lakeland and Anna Maria Island, FL
Contact:
Contact Terry

#7 Postby Terry » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:34 pm

Brent wrote:This is just unreal. I feel like I'm in a dream... :eek:


Brent, you took the words right out of my mouth. Just seems surreal.

I had my first hurricane in 1949 at 6 months old on a SE FL barrier island. Prior to the naming of canes. Second one in 1950. Other little ones and Donna. Floyd clobbered our place (not me personally) in Green Turtle Cay, Abacos, Charley and Frances. Hopefully, Ivan won't get on my Hurricane Life List

We are in a weather dream or nightmare.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
BigO
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 138
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 7:23 pm
Location: Marietta, GA: Knows what it means to miss New Orleans...
Contact:
Contact BigO

#8 Postby BigO » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:34 pm

If anyone would be willing to point me to a source that explains it, I'd like to learn more about how the Dvorak number is derived.

TIA.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stephanie
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23843
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:53 am
Location: Glassboro, NJ

#9 Postby Stephanie » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:35 pm

opera ghost wrote:This vaguely reminds me of watching Isabel form up- it was oh so very pretty- but heading towards land. (completly different tracks)

It was heartstoppingly beautiful and at the same time- utterly terrifying.


Yes it was!

Brent - this is going to be a year that will be discussed and compared to for a long, long, time!! :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#10 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:37 pm

Nobody thought it would be cat 4 so quickly.This is insane. :eek: :eek: :eek: I think it will be cat 5 by morning
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
lilbump3000
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 966
Age: 38
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Contact:
Contact lilbump3000

#11 Postby lilbump3000 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 7:37 pm

The GFDL model was the only one that thought it would be Cat. 4 so quickly.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4305
Age: 61
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

#12 Postby abajan » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:37 pm

Brent wrote:This is just unreal. I feel like I'm in a dream... :eek:


Hmm...I've been feeling the same way all day. Just out of curiosity, I'll run a poll to see how many others feel this way.

Wouldn't it be funny if we all just woke up?
LOL
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#13 Postby Aquawind » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:38 pm

abajan wrote:
Brent wrote:This is just unreal. I feel like I'm in a dream... :eek:


Hmm...I've been feeling the same way all day. Just out of curiosity, I'll run a poll to see how many others feel this way.

Wouldn't it be funny if we all just woke up?
LOL


LOL..Ditto..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Trader Ron
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 928
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 7:25 pm
Location: Naples,Fl
Contact:
Contact Trader Ron

#14 Postby Trader Ron » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:41 pm

The way Ivan is Strengthening, he could be a Cat 5 by 11PM.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tropicana
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8056
Joined: Sat Sep 27, 2003 6:48 pm
Location: Niagara Falls, Ontario, Canada
Contact:
Contact tropicana

#15 Postby tropicana » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:41 pm

Brent wrote:This is just unreal. I feel like I'm in a dream... :eek:


More like a nightmare than a dream though :cry:

Just wish we could flick a switch and it could be Christmas.
Then we would be happy.


-justin-
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Innotech
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1031
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 5:32 pm
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
Contact:
Contact Innotech

#16 Postby Innotech » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:45 pm

not a dream, its cold hard reality.
0 likes   
Top
SootyTern
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 316
Age: 57
Joined: Sun Sep 05, 2004 5:09 pm
Location: NYC (formerly Homestead, FL)

#17 Postby SootyTern » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:47 pm

You know there's too many hurricanes when...

people on a tropical weather board are wishing there would be no more hurricanes this season!

(apologies to that redneck guy)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
opera ghost
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 909
Joined: Mon Sep 08, 2003 4:40 pm
Location: Houston, Texas

#18 Postby opera ghost » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:50 pm

ABCDEFGHI + 35 days of the active tropical season...

That's an average of one named storm every 4 days .

An average of one hurricane every 7 days.

An average of one major hurricane every 9 days.
0 likes   
Top
btsgmdad
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 371
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 9:51 am
Location: Lincoln Park, MI

#19 Postby btsgmdad » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:50 pm

Ugly numbers!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2128
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

#20 Postby Canelaw99 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:51 pm

No wonder we all want a break!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: MarioProtVI, TheHurricaneGod and 60 guests