Whoa... Jeanne EXPLODING!

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Windy
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Whoa... Jeanne EXPLODING!

#1 Postby Windy » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:52 am

Check out the DVORAK!

Image

Those greys inside the whites are actually "beyond white".

Look at the friggin IR!

Image
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#2 Postby yoda » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:53 am

Um did I say only 105 mph winds? And that shear would play a factor? And that the temps weren't warm enough... boy was I wrong... :eek:

Well, JEANNE SHOWED ME!! Strong in the Dark Side of the Force is she... :eek: :eek:
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#3 Postby weatherlover427 » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:54 am

Sure is looking rather healthy early this morning. :eek:
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#4 Postby siobhan222 » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:55 am

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#5 Postby Ivanova » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:56 am

You notice Jeanne exploded during the eclipse :cool:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#6 Postby Windy » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:56 am

Those deep greys inside the whites are below -80C... literally off the chart.
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#7 Postby mobilebay » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:57 am

Yes. Jeanne looks to be going through a rapid deepening phase. Next recon Vortex will tell us alot. Once again, if you are in an evacuation zone the time to leave is now (I'm begging).
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#8 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:58 am

Dvorak estimates are 5.5/5.5. That is 102kts, Cat 3.
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#9 Postby yoda » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:58 am

siobhan222 wrote:Yoda, I don't understand. Please explain what you're seeing so that laypeople can understand. What's happening? Is this getting bigger? Is it getting stronger? Is it more likely to hit further south in Florida than predicted?

I'm in a bit of a panic so any help would be appreciated.

Thanks,

Siobhan


When you look at the IR and DVORAK.. you see the dark purple right? That means that Strengthening is occuring. Yes, it is getting stronger. Yes, the windfield may be expanding some.
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#10 Postby Windy » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:59 am

siobhan222 wrote:Yoda, I don't understand. Please explain what you're seeing so that laypeople can understand. What's happening? Is this getting bigger? Is it getting stronger? Is it more likely to hit further south in Florida than predicted?

I'm in a bit of a panic so any help would be appreciated.


Thanks,

Siobhan


We need to see if this is a long term trend; the storm is going gangbusters in its southwestern quad. This could be temporary, of course, but it's really going to town right now and looking better than I've seen it look to date. The next few hours should be really interesting to watch.

As for track, go with what the NHC has been pumping out. If you're in the cone, be prepared.
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#11 Postby Foladar » Sat Sep 25, 2004 2:59 am

Did anyone hear something about 300 (maybe they meant 200) tropical storm force wind force? Like 300 miles out..maybe 150 each way, hmm, stupid news and errors maybe...
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Ivanova

#12 Postby Ivanova » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:00 am

mobilebay wrote:
Once again, if you are in an evacuation zone the time to leave is now (I'm begging).




Judging from that satellite IR photo...
all of Florida should be evacuated :eek:



*
Last edited by Ivanova on Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#13 Postby cape_escape » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:02 am

Ivanova wrote:
mobilebay wrote:
Once again, if you are in an evacuation zone the time to leave is now (I'm begging).




Judging from that satellite IR photo...
all of Florida should be evacuated :eek:


:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#14 Postby KeyLargoDave » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:05 am

Foladar

Maybe you heard that tropical storm force winds extend 200 miles from the center (100 miles or more on each side). That's been true.
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#15 Postby mobilebay » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:06 am

Remember, if you are not in an evacuation zone sometimes it is safer to stay. We don't want another Opal situation breaking out. This thing could very well explode and everyone try to leave at the same time. This would be disasterous, because people would likely get caught on the road.
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#16 Postby siobhan222 » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:07 am

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#17 Postby cape_escape » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:09 am

siobhan222 wrote:If only ALL of FL *could* be evacuated .. I got an email from my sister in Ireland yesterday and that's what she thought was happening. She wanted to know what state I had been evacuated to. Yeah right. Wishful thinking.



:D
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#18 Postby anjou » Sat Sep 25, 2004 3:13 am

Crap - it's like already THERE. Is there really going to be any time for people to put up shutters Saturday a.m. (who didn't already) in Central Florida (inland).. before it gets too windy and weird to?
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