Easterly Wave Approach TX Coast Next Week

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KatDaddy
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Easterly Wave Approach TX Coast Next Week

#1 Postby KatDaddy » Tue May 16, 2006 6:28 am

I have not seen this in the disco's since last year.....hurricane season is on the way

From the HOU-GAL forecast discussion:

THIS WARM/DRY WX WILL BE CONTINUING. THIS TREND MAY BE EXACERBATED
SOMEWHAT BY THE (PROGGED) APPROACH OF AN ELY WAVE TOWARD THE LOWER
TX COAST. 41
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TexasStooge
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#2 Postby TexasStooge » Tue May 16, 2006 6:50 am

Yeah, I just saw it early this morning on the maps of my weather site.

Seems TX could get the first Tropical System before the season begins.
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cheezyWXguy
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#3 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue May 16, 2006 6:53 am

ya...and with the warm temps and low shear in the carribean is it possible we could get a TS or hurricane to form?
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#4 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue May 16, 2006 6:54 am

when is this expected next week?
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#5 Postby KatDaddy » Tue May 16, 2006 6:56 am

Which maps are showing the progress of the TW?
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#6 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue May 16, 2006 6:59 am

wow...every post is a question...this thread might last a while
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#7 Postby skysummit » Tue May 16, 2006 9:59 am

Why is every post a question? Why will this thread might last a while? LOL :cheesy:
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#8 Postby LaBreeze » Tue May 16, 2006 10:54 am

Yes, I have heard rumor of this wave - either yesterday or the day before, a local met (Rob Perillo) mentioned that something may be forming in the Carib. and moving into the GOM late next week. He just mentioned it in passing - not very concerned and didn't dwell on it. I found that interesting.
Anyone else hear a met mentioning it?
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#9 Postby southerngale » Tue May 16, 2006 11:49 am

Why are y'all asking so many questions and why isn't anyone answering them?

Who's gonna answer them anyway?
Senor? AFM? Bueller? Anyone?
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#10 Postby Air Force Met » Tue May 16, 2006 12:54 pm

southerngale wrote:Why are y'all asking so many questions and why isn't anyone answering them?

Who's gonna answer them anyway?
Senor? AFM? Bueller? Anyone?


I see hints of it in the modeling...but I also see a big longwave trof over the central GOM next week.

So...I doubt it...but I have to look a little more.
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#11 Postby LaBreeze » Tue May 16, 2006 2:44 pm

Thanks for the reply Air Force Met. I will look forward to what you have to say on this. I trust your posts as I trust my local met (Rob Perillo), who has taken us through many a hurricane - more recently, Lili and Rita. 8-)
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#12 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue May 16, 2006 2:50 pm

so this looks to be late next week? Hopefully this doesn't interfere with my 10:30am flight on Friday! :roll: I would also be mad if this thing hit while I was gone (since I wouldn't get to see it). I hope everything holds off until at least mid June!
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#13 Postby meteorologyman » Tue May 16, 2006 3:10 pm

can u guys show the link 8-)
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#14 Postby boca » Tue May 16, 2006 3:23 pm

Could this wave be from what is left over from this shortwave moving thru Florida right now.
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#15 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue May 16, 2006 4:00 pm

skysummit wrote:Why is every post a question? Why will this thread might last a while? LOL :cheesy:


I would like to know why Airforcemet didn't give a more detailed analysis? Can you do that Airforcemet? Secondly can somebody tell me why they think there are so many questions in this thread? WHy is there a thread anyway?
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
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#16 Postby tailgater » Tue May 16, 2006 4:29 pm

To answer the questions of life, you must look inside your own mind my son. :idea:




:P
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#17 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue May 16, 2006 4:53 pm

Actually the GFS seems to stall an area of low pressure in the central GOM and then drives it NNE toward the FL Panhandle.


Click on 000 hrs and then put in motion with your mouse wheel.


http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/misc/ ... _sfc.shtml
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#18 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue May 16, 2006 4:57 pm

i wouldnt trust what it says...it could go anywhere....it could hit the yucatan...hit cuba or anywhere in the GOM...wait a week before trusting anything the GFS says
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Extremeweatherguy
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#19 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue May 16, 2006 5:00 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:Actually the GFS seems to stall an area of low pressure in the central GOM and then drives it NNE toward the FL Panhandle.


Click on 000 hrs and then put in motion with your mouse wheel.


http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/misc/ ... _sfc.shtml
that would be cool b/c that is where I will be...Florida.
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#20 Postby george_r_1961 » Tue May 16, 2006 6:35 pm

I think we are all getting a tad stir crazy here. After all it has been since JANUARY when we tracked our last storm :roll:
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