Invest 95L SW Caribbean,Sat Pics,Models and Comments

[MGC]

Check out the area of disturbed weather north of Panama. Nice spin this morning and the NHC metioned it in the TWO.......MGC

[MiamiensisWx]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 241609
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EST FRI NOV 24 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA JUST NORTH OF THE COAST OF PANAMA. SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS
IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

[hial2]

Future land threat,if any,Hispanola east..Huge high pressure progged for Gulf/Atl

[HURAKAN]

http://www1.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rms ... PICAL.html

It seems a LLC has developed and convection is rotating nicely. Not bad after nothing for more than a month!!!

[whereverwx]

It may be impressive from a visible standpoint, but from a water vapor view it’s right in the oven with the other turkey.

[HURAKAN]

THAT LOOKS REALLY BAD FOR THE SYSTEM. ASTONISHING IMAGE, I MUST ADD!!!

[hial2]

Anyone know the ssts in the area?? Thanks....

[WmE]

Anyone know the ssts in the area?? Thanks....

28-29°C

[RattleMan]

Now 95L on FNMOC!

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

[JonathanBelles]

it looks good.

[WmE]

WHXX01 KWBC 241836

CHGHUR


DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952006) ON 20061124 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
061124 1800 061125 0600 061125 1800 061126 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 10.3N 78.7W 10.7N 79.6W 11.2N 80.6W 11.8N 81.7W
BAMM 10.3N 78.7W 10.5N 79.7W 10.7N 80.8W 10.9N 82.0W
A98E 10.3N 78.7W 10.4N 79.2W 10.3N 80.0W 10.0N 81.2W
LBAR 10.3N 78.7W 10.8N 79.2W 11.8N 79.7W 13.0N 80.3W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 26KTS 27KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 26KTS 27KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
061126 1800 061127 1800 061128 1800 061129 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 12.3N 82.8W 13.0N 85.7W 14.0N 89.2W 15.3N 92.6W
BAMM 11.1N 83.3W 11.0N 86.8W 11.0N 90.9W 11.3N 94.9W
A98E 10.0N 82.6W 10.2N 86.0W 10.4N 89.7W 10.2N 93.6W
LBAR 14.2N 81.0W 16.0N 82.0W 17.3N 83.3W 17.7N 84.8W
SHIP 30KTS 31KTS 28KTS 24KTS
DSHP 30KTS 30KTS 27KTS 23KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 10.3N LONCUR = 78.7W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 2KT
LATM12 = 10.2N LONM12 = 78.3W DIRM12 = 327DEG SPDM12 = 2KT
LATM24 = 9.9N LONM24 = 78.0W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$

[HurricaneHunter914]

I don't know if it will be able to survive the "Sahara Desert of the Ocean", but it will be nice to watch.

[WmE]

Right it's bone try out there!

[TheEuropean]

Now it's on the NRL main site.

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 242201
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EST FRI NOV 24 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE...IS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA JUST
NORTH OF THE COAST OF PANAMA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE
BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY...AND SOME ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

I was one of those that were on the black friday's thing ,but I come now and see this.However,for me it's not a surprise because the global models were showing something in this area for many days before dropping it.But the dates were wrong from the models as it was supposed to start forming on the 15th and now here it is.

[TheEuropean]

I was one of those that were on the black friday's thing ,but I come now and see this.However,for me it's not a surprise because the global models were showing something in this area for many days before dropping it.But the dates were wrong from the models as it was supposed to start forming on the 15th and now here it is.

There was some convection the last few days but no really organized system. Models were not so bad:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=91296

[Derek Ortt]

more concerned about how much to lay on the over/under line tomorrow night in the ND USC game than I am of this non event that we currently have

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Watch a borning season, this won't likley develop because of the dry air to its west. I'm looking forward to 2007.

[cycloneye]

Watch a borning season, this won't likley develop because of the dry air to its west. I'm looking forward to 2007.

I may add,dry and cool air.If and it's a huge if the development of this,the U.S gulf coast and Florida are safe.

[george_r_1961]

I dont see this becoming any more than a short lived YD if that.

Excuse me while I go get my End of Season party supplies. We have a lot to celebrate this year.