Tropical Wave East of Lesser Antilles

[Praxus]

The train continues to chug along...

[HURAKAN]

Looks good for development. Time will tell.

[Zardoz]

...Time will tell.

Ack!

http://67.18.196.150/phpbb2/viewtopic.p ... bbed38070b

[Meso]

Was just looking at the same,very nice looking wave.

[Gustywind]

Very nice cluster well concentrated this morning.....
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/ir4.jpg

[HURAKAN]

This one already comes with a low pressure.

[Frank2]

Rats...

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN INTRODUCED ON THE 06Z ANALYSIS ALONG
19W/20W S OF 18N ESTIMATED TO BE MOVING W 10-15 KT. BASED ON
SOUNDING DATA...THIS WAVE PASSED DAKAR SOMETIME BETWEEN 12Z AND
23Z YESTERDAY. SYNOPTIC 24-HOUR PRES TRENDS CLEARLY
SHOW THE PRESCIENCE OF THIS WAVE WITH 1-3 MB PRES RISES E OF THE
WAVE OVER W AFRICA AND 1 MB FALLS W OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
SINCE 06Z YESTERDAY. VISIBLE IMAGERY...LOW-LEVEL SATELLITE DRIFT
WINDS AND A 07Z QSCAT PASS SHOW A FAIR AMOUNT OF CYCLONIC
TURNING WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE WAVE AXIS
NEAR 10N...ANALYZED 1010 MB. SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE WIDELY
SCATTERED WITHIN 240 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.



It has been introduced by TPC in its 8 AM discussion.Will this wave have the same fate as TD 8 is having?..

[Gustywind]

TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN INTRODUCED ON THE 06Z ANALYSIS ALONG
19W/20W S OF 18N ESTIMATED TO BE MOVING W 10-15 KT. BASED ON
SOUNDING DATA...THIS WAVE PASSED DAKAR SOMETIME BETWEEN 12Z AND
23Z YESTERDAY. SYNOPTIC 24-HOUR PRES TRENDS CLEARLY
SHOW THE PRESCIENCE OF THIS WAVE WITH 1-3 MB PRES RISES E OF THE
WAVE OVER W AFRICA AND 1 MB FALLS W OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
SINCE 06Z YESTERDAY. VISIBLE IMAGERY...LOW-LEVEL SATELLITE DRIFT
WINDS AND A 07Z QSCAT PASS SHOW A FAIR AMOUNT OF CYCLONIC
TURNING WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE WAVE AXIS
NEAR 10N...ANALYZED 1010 MB. SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE WIDELY
SCATTERED WITHIN 240 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.



It has been introduced by TPC in its 8 AM discussion.Will this wave have the same fate as TD 8 is having?..

Thats' the 10000 $ question Luis.....i don't tkink that ...time will tell...

[cycloneye]

Quickscat shows some circulation with this.

[KWT]

Looks like the convection is ahead of the low right now, still it doesn't look too bad and I'm guessing is the feature that some models develop around 72hrs. Who knows whether it'll develop or not, does look interesting and will be our next long term system to watch.

[Sanibel]

The only problem is the ITCZ out ahead of it is a little drier and more negative than previous established CV waves.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 20W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE
CAME OFF OF THE AFRICAN COAST SOMETIME BETWEEN 12Z AND 23Z
YESTERDAY. THE VERTICAL SOUNDING FROM DAKAR DEPICTED VERY WELL
THE PASSAGE OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE WAVE IS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED
WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR
10N...ANALYZED 1010 MB. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
FROM 6N-16N WEST OF 25W.

2 PM discussion by TPC

[CrazyC83]

TD8 might eat up enough of good ol' Sally to give this a good shot...

[Cyclenall]

TD8 might eat up enough of good ol' Sally to give this a good shot...

As Derek has said, you got it backwards. Ingrid isn't going to eat up anything unless "Sally" was in the Caribbean right now.

[Meso]

5am

TROPICAL WAVE IS TITLED THROUGH THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ALONG
18N22W 3N27W MOVING W 10-15 KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS ANALYZED
ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 10N...CONFIRMED BY A BROAD AREA OF
CYCLONIC TURNING IN AN EARLIER QSCAT PASS. OVERALL...THIS WAVE
HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH CONVECTION
LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED WITHIN 180 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS. THE
UW-CIMSS TPW ANIMATION SHOWS A WELL DEFINED WIDE MOISTURE PLUME
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE...MAKING IT EASY TO TRACK.

[Sanibel]

African wave train dried up.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WAVE IS TITLED FROM 16N26W TO 3N28W MOVING W 10-15
KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS ANALYZED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR
10N...CONFIRMED BY A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING IN AN
EARLIER QSCAT PASS. OVERALL...THIS WAVE HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH CONVECTION LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED. A
CURVED BAND OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED TSTMS IS ON THE NORTHERN
END OF WAVE AXIS. THE REMAINDER OF CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE ITCZ
AXIS. THE UW-CIMSS TPW ANIMATION SHOWS A WELL DEFINED WIDE
MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE...MAKING IT EASY TO
TRACK.

$$
GR

[BigA]

Convection has increased some this afternoon. Worth keeping a weather-eye on it, but nothing to worry about at this point.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 29W S OF MOVING W 10-15 KT. A 1008 MB
LOW IS ANALYZED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 10N. THE UW-CIMSS TPW
ANIMATION SHOWS A WELL DEFINED WIDE MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS WAVE...MAKING IT EASY TO TRACK. A CURVED BAND OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE NW
QUADRANT ALONG 15N28W 14N31W 11N34W. ISOLATED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FURTHER S ALONG THE ITCZ AXIS FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN
23W-33W.

Hmm,now that low is down to 1008 mbs.