Tropical Storm Alberto

[NewOrleansMeteorologist]

NHC has a hard time changing its original track. They love forecasting Texas and Florida landfalls for some reason.

[28_Storms]

It'll be interesting to see how much the vertical shear relaxes.

[SouthFloridawx]

Here are is the 00Z model guidance...

Those models that were posted before were a bit old this is the 00Z runs

[Extremeweatherguy]

NHC has a hard time changing its original track. They love forecasting Texas and Florida landfalls for some reason.

They also are usually very resistant in changing a track. I remember during Rita having the track shift about 50 miles east with each update instead of making the change all at once.

[spinfan4eva]

Here are is the 00Z model guidance...

Those models that were posted before were a bit old this is the 00Z runs

Yes, for the 12th day of June

[Extremeweatherguy]

Here are is the 00Z model guidance...

Those models that were posted before were a bit old this is the 00Z runs

these still all look north of the NHC track.

[28_Storms]

Please post the GFDL model please.

[whereverwx]

What's that red dot? lol

[Scorpion]

Nice to get some more convection closer to the center.

[SouthFloridawx]

Please post the GFDL model please.

This image depicts the gfdl and the ukmet... kind of don't mind the other ones.

[Stratosphere747]

Look about 12 post above "Swimdude"

[JonathanBelles]

the rebirth of alberto

[28_Storms]

What is the intensity predicted by the GFDL?

[CHRISTY]

NHC TRACK FROM CROWN WEATHER.

[NewOrleansMeteorologist]

Again, NHC is ALWAYS slow in changing its predictions. It's rather worthless to post their graphics now.

[Swimdude]

Random Question:

What is WITH the "X Trap" model? It always seems to be a creepishly straight line. And not just with this storm. I'm talking with EVERY storm.

[Scorpion]

Random Question:

What is WITH the "X Trap" model? It always seems to be a creepishly straight line. And not just with this storm. I'm talking with EVERY storm.

It's the BEST model don't trash it .

[28_Storms]

x trap shows current motion

[curtadams]

from the water vapor and i am an amateur i have 2 questions. what is that more pronounced clock wise rotation occuring in central carribean. a anti-cylone? and two as a short-wave appears to be dropping south thru the mississippi valley and the anti-cyclonic flow in the carribean might this things just get pushed more east north east in the path of least resistance, and also will the llC go for the ride. if the low llC starts moving more east with the help of the anticylonic flow south

The clockwise flow is indeed a high-altitude cyclone, more or less left over from the convection that formed Alberto. I can't say how likely it is, but the NE turn was expected to be driven mostly by the trough projected to drop down. The anticyclone could play a role too but generally high altitude winds are westerly at those latitudes anyway.

[HURAKAN]

Random Question:

What is WITH the "X Trap" model? It always seems to be a creepishly straight line. And not just with this storm. I'm talking with EVERY storm.

It just says where the storm is moving!!!! It's not a model!!!