Hurricane Gordon - Cat. 3

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#181 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 12, 2006 3:10 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Seems to make sense. I'd say it is at 55 kt, maybe 60 kt, now.


Agree.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#182 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 12, 2006 3:11 pm

Image

Looks excellent!!!
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#183 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 12, 2006 3:13 pm

Recon was needed now there but I understand that it's not good to spend fuel and money on a system that will not affect anyone but the fishes.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Scorpion

#184 Postby Scorpion » Tue Sep 12, 2006 5:28 pm

It looks like Gordon is pretty close to hurricane intensity. It's too bad that recon isn't going in.
0 likes   

User avatar
Damar91
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 551
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 1:06 pm
Location: Coral Springs, FL

#185 Postby Damar91 » Tue Sep 12, 2006 5:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:Recon was needed now there but I understand that it's not good to spend fuel and money on a system that will not affect anyone but the fishes.


Very true, however, Gordon's future speed and movement may affect what the future Helena does. Shouldn't they send one out just to survey that, or can they tell all they need to know by maps and stuff?
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#186 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 12, 2006 5:58 pm

Image

Is Gordon seeing?
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

TheRingo
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 170
Joined: Sat Aug 26, 2006 4:46 pm

#187 Postby TheRingo » Tue Sep 12, 2006 6:01 pm

wow that's evil! :eek:
actually he looks like a mutant ninja turtle.
0 likes   

Scorpion

#188 Postby Scorpion » Tue Sep 12, 2006 6:11 pm

Wow Gordon is looking very symmetrical. I think he could possibly be a hurricane now. Anyone know where to get the latest satellite intensity estimates?
0 likes   

curtadams
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1122
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:57 pm
Location: Orange, California
Contact:

#189 Postby curtadams » Tue Sep 12, 2006 6:16 pm

Scorpion wrote:Wow Gordon is looking very symmetrical. I think he could possibly be a hurricane now. Anyone know where to get the latest satellite intensity estimates?

There are several; here's one: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#190 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 12, 2006 6:21 pm

I am going to revise my forecast with Gordon as a hurricane. I think he is a cane now.
0 likes   

User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#191 Postby AussieMark » Tue Sep 12, 2006 6:24 pm

0 likes   

whereverwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1109
Joined: Mon May 31, 2004 10:15 pm

#192 Postby whereverwx » Tue Sep 12, 2006 6:29 pm

cycloneye wrote:Image
Is Gordon seeing?

Wow, I have been missing out.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#193 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 12, 2006 6:43 pm

WHXX04 KWBC 122328
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL STORM GORDON 07L

INITIAL TIME 18Z SEP 12

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 23.4 58.4 340./ 6.0
6 24.0 58.3 11./ 6.4
12 24.9 58.0 23./ 8.7
18 26.0 58.0 356./11.3
24 26.9 57.8 13./ 9.5
30 28.0 57.5 16./11.5
36 29.0 57.2 14./10.4
42 30.0 56.7 33./10.3
48 30.8 56.0 38./ 9.6
54 31.4 55.2 53./ 9.3
60 31.8 54.5 57./ 7.1
66 32.2 54.0 50./ 6.4
72 32.5 53.7 47./ 3.9
78 32.6 53.3 78./ 3.7
84 32.8 53.1 48./ 2.3
90 32.9 52.8 78./ 2.4
96 33.0 52.5 68./ 3.0
102 33.0 52.2 96./ 2.3
108 33.2 52.2 5./ 2.3
114 33.5 52.0 24./ 3.8
120 34.1 51.8 25./ 6.0
126 34.8 51.1 45./ 8.3


18z GFDL has Gordon crawling after it passes 32n.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37988
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#194 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 12, 2006 6:49 pm

I see an eye too.

Hurricane at 11 IMO.
0 likes   
#neversummer

Mac

#195 Postby Mac » Tue Sep 12, 2006 7:14 pm

Well, this was my forecast...and my first ever, btw.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=89638

So far it's verifying rather well. And it looks like it may well continue to verify. If anything, the intensity may possibly end up a little higher than my 120 mph forecast; and he may track to the east of Bermuda. But all in all, not too bad for my first forecast. :)
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#196 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Sep 12, 2006 7:24 pm

this slowing is what has TD 8 recurving
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#197 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 12, 2006 7:34 pm

12/2345 UTC 24.1N 57.9W T4.0/4.0 GORDON -- Atlantic Ocean


Hurricane Gordon at 11.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

#198 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Sep 12, 2006 7:37 pm

its more east than it should be going. im fact, it appeares to be turining ENE!!!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-wv.html
0 likes   

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5274
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

#199 Postby Nimbus » Tue Sep 12, 2006 7:39 pm

That ULL to the northeast of Gordon is currently ventilating. Don't know what a stronger gordon will do to the model runs yet but its starting to get interesting with all these players!
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#200 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 12, 2006 7:41 pm

Nimbus wrote:That ULL to the northeast of Gordon is currently ventilating. Don't know what a stronger gordon will do to the model runs yet but its starting to get interesting with all these players!


And what will be the effect of Gordon on the track of TD8.Interesting scenarios with all of these features.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “2006”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 33 guests