#496 Postby senorpepr » Sat May 13, 2006 11:35 pm
From Beijing:
WTPQ20 BABJ 140000
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 140000 UTC
00HR 14.0N 117.6E 965HPA 35M/S
30KTS 450KM
50KTS 100KM
P12HR WNW 15KM/H
P+24HR 15.2N 115.0E 960HPA 40M/S
P+48HR 17.2N 114.0E 950HPA 45M/S
P+72HR 20.2N 113.9E 940HPA 50M/S=
NNNN
From Hong Kong:
Bulletin issued at 10:01 HKT 14/May/2006
Tropical Cyclone Warning
At 140000 UTC, Typhoon Chanchu (0601) with central pressure
965 hectopascals was centred within 30 nautical miles of
one three point nine degrees north (13.9 N) one one seven
point five degrees east (117.5 E) and is forecast to move
west-northwest at about 6 knots for the next 24 hours.
Maximum winds near the centre are estimated to be 70 knots.
Radius of over 33 knot winds 240 nautical miles.
Radius of over 47 knot winds 90 nautical miles.
Radius of over 63 knot winds 30 nautical miles.
Radius of over 2 metre waves 360 nautical miles.
Forecast position and intensity at 150000 UTC
One four point eight degrees north (14.8 N)
One one five point two degrees east (115.2 E)
Maximum winds 80 knots.
Forecast position and intensity at 160000 UTC
One seven point two degrees north (17.2 N)
One one four point five degrees east (114.5 E)
Maximum winds 85 knots.
Forecast position and intensity at 170000 UTC
Two zero point three degrees north (20.3 N)
One one four point seven degrees east (114.7 E)
Maximum winds 85 knots.
From Seoul:
ANALYSIS 0600 UTC 13 May 2006
Present Position 13.9 N, 119.3 E Moving Direction and Speed WNW, 22 km/h
Minimum Surface Pressure 975 hPa Maximum Sustained Wind 31 m/s
Radius of 15 m/s 520 km Radius of 25 m/s 70 km
FORECAST
24HRS 140600UTC 14.8 N, 116.3 E within 150km (35 m/s, 965 hPa)
48HRS 150600UTC 16.0 N, 114.5 E within 250km (43 m/s, 950 hPa)
72HRS 160600UTC 18.5 N, 113.4 E within 400km (43 m/s, 950 hPa)
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