ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

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Stratton23
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#21 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jul 15, 2025 12:42 am

Icon/ GFS/ Euro all shifted west more, close enough to texas to bring some rain bands into se texas
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#22 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 15, 2025 5:34 am

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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#23 Postby LarryWx » Tue Jul 15, 2025 7:15 am

Latest UKMET (6Z): 1009 mb
0Z was 1013
18Z was 1004
12Z was 1010

6Z Euro a little weaker than 0Z, which was slightly weaker than the most bullish so far 18Z

6Z ICON weakest in a couple of days with only down to 1011 mb

6Z GFS, like prior GFS runs, has very little
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#24 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 15, 2025 9:19 am

GFS would have a big win if 93L does not develop.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#25 Postby LarryWx » Tue Jul 15, 2025 10:10 am

12Z ICON is coming in even a little weaker than the 6Z and possibly slightly further north. It has essentially no LLC of significance.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#26 Postby LarryWx » Tue Jul 15, 2025 1:08 pm

12Z globals are not showing much of anything LLCwise.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#27 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jul 15, 2025 1:50 pm

What in thinking is going to happen is that LLC is going to die, and we see a new center form further south under the MLC, convection has been very consistent ( although weak) near the MLC, i still think their is a decent chance this is going to be dexter in the next 48 hours despite models not being enthusiastic, interesting to note that most model guidance takes the MLC into the upper texas coast and brings some healthy rain chances to se texas, eastern texas and of course louisiana
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ATL: INVEST 93L - Discussion

#28 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jul 15, 2025 3:05 pm

New model guidance has it riding the northern Gulf coast. Less likely to develop with that track but still heavy rain

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