NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2321 Postby zzzh » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:10 am

892.3 extrap
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2322 Postby Travorum » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:11 am

Another HDOB with recon circling the eye, hopefully this is for data collection and they're not having trouble penetrating the eyewall. There was an 892.3mb extrap measurement.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2323 Postby Teban54 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:11 am

Latest set of data has extrap down to 892.3 mb. While they are less reliable than dropsonades (as people are discussing above), it could indicate that Melissa is still deepening.

There's another reading of 892.7 mb.

Image
Last edited by Teban54 on Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2324 Postby ATDoel » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:12 am

syfr wrote:
ATDoel wrote:any good live streams?



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=psWnPJfuuZU


did anyone dare to stay close to the coast?
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2325 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:12 am

 https://x.com/WxNB_/status/1983159016428843263

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2326 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:12 am

Likely more intense than Milton now. Maybe 894mb?
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2327 Postby Buck » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:15 am

ATDoel wrote:
syfr wrote:
ATDoel wrote:any good live streams?



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=psWnPJfuuZU


did anyone dare to stay close to the coast?


Morgerman is in Crawford near the coast.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2328 Postby grapealcoholic » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:16 am

that's a 1mb drop in 20 mins // roughly 3mb per hour deepening right now
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2329 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:16 am

Teban54 wrote:So they did a second loop in the eye... Still with ridiculous readings.

https://i.postimg.cc/28X11pnm/MELISSA-AF303-2413A-flw-202510281257.png


I've never seen them do this before. Any idea why?
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2330 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:17 am

Will they have time for another pass?
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2331 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:18 am

Kingarabian wrote:Will they have time for another pass?

I don’t know, but the NOAA plane will make it.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2332 Postby ATDoel » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:18 am

Buck wrote:
ATDoel wrote:


did anyone dare to stay close to the coast?


Morgerman is in Crawford near the coast.


does he have a livestream up? I can't find one.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2333 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:18 am

Kingarabian wrote:Will they have time for another pass?


Yes, they will have time for one more or maybe 2.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2334 Postby N2FSU » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:19 am

Josh is 23nm from the eye in the direct path. Image
Image


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2335 Postby Teban54 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:19 am

150 kt FL in the NW quad on the way out. FWIW, there's a 177 kt SFMR.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2336 Postby Buck » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:20 am

ATDoel wrote:
Buck wrote:
ATDoel wrote:
did anyone dare to stay close to the coast?


Morgerman is in Crawford near the coast.


does he have a livestream up? I can't find one.


Not right now.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2337 Postby SconnieCane » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:21 am



Impressive. Yesterday evening (as per my posts) I was thinking he might have to go to Savanna-la-Mar or even further west to be sure of getting the eyewall. Did not expect it to take on that much of an easterly component of motion that quickly.
Last edited by SconnieCane on Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2338 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:21 am

Thank God the plane was able to leave the eye. What a historic, unforgettable and possibly painful ride for the crew.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2339 Postby mrbagyo » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:21 am

Buck wrote:
ATDoel wrote:


did anyone dare to stay close to the coast?


Morgerman is in Crawford near the coast.


looks like his exact coordinate is 18.0438501, -77.9104967 just by comparing the building structure on his pics to the Sat image in google maps
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 180mph/896mb at 9AM

#2340 Postby syfr » Tue Oct 28, 2025 8:22 am

Anyone have ideas what the storm will look like on the other side of Jamaica?

What will Cuba be facing, Cat III?
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