NATL: MELISSA - Models

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aspen
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Models

#401 Postby aspen » Fri Oct 24, 2025 1:08 pm

HAFS-A gets stuck in an infinite EWRC and makes landfall in the 910s, after peaking at 902 mbar.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Models

#402 Postby Nimbus » Fri Oct 24, 2025 1:57 pm

12z model run the ridge encroachment from the Gulf is different at just 12 hours between GFS and Euro.

12Z GFS run forecast 588 isobar is still back over the Yucatan.

Image

12z Euro model run has the 588 isobar stretching further east out over Cuba.

Image
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Models

#403 Postby Pelicane » Fri Oct 24, 2025 3:16 pm

The 18z model cycle shifted back east, with a cluster showing an eastern Jamaican landfall.
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