Tropical Depression SEPAT: Discussions, Analysis and Image

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Chacor
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#41 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:20 pm

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09WSEPAT.130kts-926mb-156N-1286E

This would make 09W a super typhoon.
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Re: WPAC: 0708 Typhoon Sepat (09W) PINHOLE EYE

#42 Postby nolecaster » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:27 pm

What a storm. Huge RI.
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Re: WPAC: 0708 Typhoon Sepat (09W) PINHOLE EYE

#43 Postby btangy » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:30 pm

If only there was reconnaissance in the W Pac. This would have been a very interesting storm to observe in situ.
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#44 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:32 pm

I wonder if it will have time to go sub-900mb.
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#45 Postby btangy » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:33 pm

RL3AO wrote:I wonder if it will have time to go sub-900mb.


I don't think we'll ever know.
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#46 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:36 pm

The JTWC uses the Atkinson-Holiday pressure-wind relationship, so if JTWC ups to 140 kt you will see 898 mbar. The JMA will not lower it below 900 however.
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#47 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:36 pm

Image

Image

You could say this is looking great!!!
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#48 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:37 pm

Looks kinda like Wilma!
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#49 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:03 pm

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#50 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:11 pm

Latest JTWC advisory ups it to 130 kt super typhoon, with a 145 kt forecast point for 36 hours.
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Re:

#51 Postby btangy » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:27 pm

Chacor wrote:Latest JTWC advisory ups it to 130 kt super typhoon, with a 145 kt forecast point for 36 hours.


That's much more in line with the GFDN. CHIPS has it going to a whopping 160knots if you can believe it, which is pretty much the potential intensity. Wouldn't want to be in Taiwan staring down such a monster.
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RL3AO
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#52 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:27 pm

And it probably won't even get a mention on TWC because of the three systems.
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#53 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:16 pm

Image

LOOKING REALLY GOOD!!!
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#54 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:19 pm

Probably stronger if they flew a Hurricane Hunter into it...pinhole eyes can be stronger than satellite suggests as it is in a tiny area of peak intensity...
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Re: Typhoon SEPAT (WPAC): Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#55 Postby HurricaneRobert » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:33 pm

How big is that eye?
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#56 Postby Normandy » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:34 pm

LOL wow that looks very very familiar *cough*Wilma*cough*
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#57 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:34 pm

They have it hooking west again after China landfall (the second landfall). Hmmmm.

Steve
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Re: Typhoon SEPAT (WPAC): Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#58 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:36 pm

HurricaneRobert wrote:How big is that eye?


12 nm.
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#59 Postby wxmann_91 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:37 pm

interesting "cone" by JTWC

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#60 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:39 pm

The JTWC's cone includes wind radii.
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