Tropical Depression SEPAT: Discussions, Analysis and Image

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#41 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:20 pm

Image

09WSEPAT.130kts-926mb-156N-1286E

This would make 09W a super typhoon.
0 likes   
Top
nolecaster
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 52
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:15 pm
Location: Tallahassee
Contact:
Contact nolecaster

Re: WPAC: 0708 Typhoon Sepat (09W) PINHOLE EYE

#42 Postby nolecaster » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:27 pm

What a storm. Huge RI.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
btangy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 758
Joined: Fri Sep 19, 2003 11:06 pm
Location: Boulder, CO
Contact:
Contact btangy

Re: WPAC: 0708 Typhoon Sepat (09W) PINHOLE EYE

#43 Postby btangy » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:30 pm

If only there was reconnaissance in the W Pac. This would have been a very interesting storm to observe in situ.
0 likes   
Top
RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#44 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:32 pm

I wonder if it will have time to go sub-900mb.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
btangy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 758
Joined: Fri Sep 19, 2003 11:06 pm
Location: Boulder, CO
Contact:
Contact btangy

Re:

#45 Postby btangy » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:33 pm

RL3AO wrote:I wonder if it will have time to go sub-900mb.


I don't think we'll ever know.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#46 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:36 pm

The JTWC uses the Atkinson-Holiday pressure-wind relationship, so if JTWC ups to 140 kt you will see 898 mbar. The JMA will not lower it below 900 however.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#47 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:36 pm

Image

Image

You could say this is looking great!!!
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#48 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 8:37 pm

Looks kinda like Wilma!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#49 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:03 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#50 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:11 pm

Latest JTWC advisory ups it to 130 kt super typhoon, with a 145 kt forecast point for 36 hours.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
btangy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 758
Joined: Fri Sep 19, 2003 11:06 pm
Location: Boulder, CO
Contact:
Contact btangy

Re:

#51 Postby btangy » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:27 pm

Chacor wrote:Latest JTWC advisory ups it to 130 kt super typhoon, with a 145 kt forecast point for 36 hours.


That's much more in line with the GFDN. CHIPS has it going to a whopping 160knots if you can believe it, which is pretty much the potential intensity. Wouldn't want to be in Taiwan staring down such a monster.
0 likes   
Top
RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#52 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 14, 2007 9:27 pm

And it probably won't even get a mention on TWC because of the three systems.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#53 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:16 pm

Image

LOOKING REALLY GOOD!!!
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#54 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:19 pm

Probably stronger if they flew a Hurricane Hunter into it...pinhole eyes can be stronger than satellite suggests as it is in a tiny area of peak intensity...
0 likes   
Top
HurricaneRobert
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 812
Joined: Fri May 18, 2007 9:31 pm

Re: Typhoon SEPAT (WPAC): Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#55 Postby HurricaneRobert » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:33 pm

How big is that eye?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#56 Postby Normandy » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:34 pm

LOL wow that looks very very familiar *cough*Wilma*cough*
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9591
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Not a state-caster

#57 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:34 pm

They have it hooking west again after China landfall (the second landfall). Hmmmm.

Steve
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

Re: Typhoon SEPAT (WPAC): Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#58 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:36 pm

HurricaneRobert wrote:How big is that eye?


12 nm.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 33
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:
Contact wxmann_91

#59 Postby wxmann_91 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:37 pm

interesting "cone" by JTWC

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#60 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:39 pm

The JTWC's cone includes wind radii.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2007”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 17 guests