ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[carversteve]

Is it me or does Fay seem to be wrapping up a bit....just an observation by my very unofficial and untrained eye..(seems also to be moving rather slowly).

[cpdaman]

I am seeing slow movement based on radar:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

yes in the last 45 minutes (after the last recon ) you can see a lack of movement , prior to that on radar you could see the NW movement that the recon confirmed. Bad news imo

[Extremeweatherguy]

Marathon is probably about to get whacked by a period of sustained TS force winds with gusts to 60-70mph. That band heading toward them right now is probably one of the strongest in the storm right now.

[Sanibel]

Wait til you see what tonight's D-MAX does when combined with SST boost.

[Noles2006]

Seems to be moving due north right now though?

based on the last 2 recon fixes its moving northwest still

That's what I thought.

But, I must say... it's amazing what you can see on radar loops without actually measuring movement... just by staring, you could make your eyes believe that it's moving NW, S, N, or NE.

[NEXRAD]

we have a tvs signature off marathon right now

I see that; it's a good looking supercell and the mesocyclone shows up well, esp. on the Miami radar. I'm still trying to take a peak at the SPC site, but that one's down. It must be on the same servers as the TPC (?).

- Jay

[Extremeweatherguy]

I am seeing slow movement based on radar:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

yes in the last 45 minutes (after the last recon ) you can see a lack of movement , prior to that on radar you could see the NW movement that the recon confirmed. Bad news imo

I still see motion on radar. It is probably slower than 13mph, but it is still clearly lifting NNW, IMO...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php ... Z&loop=yes

[timeflow]

If you try to look at what appears to be a center in that radar, it almost looks like it's very slowly drifting N or NNE, but then if you take a look at the overall body of rain cycling around the center, it's almost moving W or WNW... so I can't really tell. I'd take an average and just say it is still on track.

[HURAKAN]

So far today 1.20 inches of rain and the worse is yet to come.

[cpdaman]

doesn't latest radar show that the LLC opened up on the south side

[Jason_B]

Watch for the stronger convection to the east of the center to start pulling the center of Fay slowly to the NNE and eventually NE.

[tgenius]

I take it with a grain of salt.. but I heard on Marsters blog about GFS saying Fay comes in through SW FL and exits through SE FL similar to what wilma did, is that even conceiveable?

I just heard Dade County cancelled class for tommorow.

[NEXRAD]

doesn't latest radar show that the LLC opened up on the south side

The LLC is too far from the Key West radar to reveal lower-topped convection. There's more than likely some weaker activity south of the center that's just not resolved at this radar range.

- Jay

[gatorcane]

Watch for the stronger convection to the east of the center to start pulling the center of Fay slowly to the NNE and eventually NE.

quite possible, that trough nearly has Fay at this point and may induce a more NNE movement overtime today....

[cpdaman]

Watch for the stronger convection to the east of the center to start pulling the center of Fay slowly to the NNE and eventually NE.

well absent that it looks like she would have a problemo

[JonathanBelles]

Is the NHC site down?

[Brent]

Is the NHC site down?

Yep.

[x-y-no]

Is the NHC site down?

I can't get to anything in the NOAA domain - not NCEP, not HPC, not NHC, not even the NOAA home page.

[Clipper96]

If I didn't know any better (and I probably don't), Fay has stalled, or shown a slight NE drift, over the last hour.

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

yeah SSD is down once again as well. It was down around 11 but then came back but is now down again.