ATL: Ex-Hurricane DANIELLE - Discussion

cyclonic chronic · #1361 Postby **cyclonic chronic** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 4:23 pm

dont know if this has been posted yet.

ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 12-HRLY FIXES
ON HURRICANE DANIELLE NEAR 25.5N 59.7W
AT 27/1800Z.

i guess they think it'll pass a lil too close to bermuda.

#1362 Postby **Ivanhater** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 4:29 pm

Danielle is putting on a show...

BTW, the season bust talk has been unusually quiet recently :wink:

#1363 Postby **lester** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 4:32 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Danielle is putting on a show...

BTW, the season bust talk has been unusually quiet recently

A cat-1 hurricane, a tropical storm, a disturbance in the gulf and an african wave will do that

cyclonic chronic · #1364 Postby **cyclonic chronic** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 4:33 pm

LOL, it sure is a quiet topic now

cpdaman · #1365 Postby **cpdaman** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 4:36 pm

Looks like she is undergoing RI

sned that swell up here BABY...she is growing and deepening per my opinion....and that swell train is a rollin toward SNE coast.....

KWT · #1366 Postby **KWT** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 4:46 pm

Danielle is looking pretty decent right now, wouldn't surprise me to see this one getting upto Category-2 tonight again.

Looking like Bermuda is going to be very close to this track...

#1367 Postby **CrazyC83** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 4:47 pm

Maybe 80 kt now, but I want to at least see solid signs of a satellite eye to go any higher.

cyclonic chronic · #1368 Postby **cyclonic chronic** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 4:56 pm

outflow looks alot better tonite. this morning it was only good to the NW. she could very well go thru R.I. but that would mean the shear has susided, which wasnt forecast to relax for another day or so. then again the shear forecasts in the middle of nowhere are not always acurate, shear speed moreso than shear dir.

#1369 Postby **OuterBanker** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:07 pm

Well well, we still have two opinions from the models. A few still want to turn it toward the US, others (including the more reliable Euro) want to send it away to never never land. It will be a wait and see.

people I disagree with and doomsayers will delight.

BTW, Danielle becoming a fish will be the only thing doomsayers will be right on.

With Danielle making major status, Earl and probably Fiona all active before the end of August we will have an above average ACE for August.

So much for it's August 15th and nothing, season over.

Look out September!

KWT · #1370 Postby **KWT** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:08 pm

OB, the thing the models are in strong agreement with either way is a pretty sizeable Bermuda threat.

Still far enough away to be uncertain about the extent of the risk to Bermuda but I'd punt and say its pretty sizeable at the moment.

#1371 Postby **OuterBanker** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:13 pm

The difference with Bermuda is that thier buildings are built to withstand hurricanes. Solid mostly stuccco and brick buildings on solid foundations. Unlike the stickbuilt million dollar buildings here on the OBX (seems a lesson we will never learn).

#1372 Postby **OuterBanker** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:18 pm

BTW, I like fishing and won't mind at all if we wind up with nothing but fish this year.

Danielle is a beauty, even more so from a distance.

KWT · #1373 Postby **KWT** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:21 pm

OuterBanker wrote:The difference with Bermuda is that thier buildings are built to withstand hurricanes. Solid mostly stuccco and brick buildings on solid foundations. Unlike the stickbuilt million dollar buildings here on the OBX (seems a lesson we will never learn).

Yeah exactly they have to be to counter the threat of hurricanes that they have sticking out in the ocean like that....still would be at least the biggest since Bertha and probably the strongest since Fabian...

#1374 Postby **OuterBanker** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:22 pm

One other thing, Danielle will produce some beautiful surf for the surfers (no swimming please). Tons of surfers here this week and the ECSC (East Coast Surfing Championship) is this weekend at Virginia Beach. Couldn't have been better timing.

KWT · #1375 Postby **KWT** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:27 pm

The other good thing about this sort of track is we are going to get recon flying into the system fairly soon, so we will get actual information as to how strong Danielle really is...gotta love recon!!

#1376 Postby **ColinDelia** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:48 pm

#1377 Postby **ColinDelia** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:51 pm

Tops colder than -70

KWT · #1378 Postby **KWT** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:53 pm

Looks like its really trying to wrap itself up now, probably at 80kts but won't be long before its a category-2 again from the looks of things!

pricetag56 · #1379 Postby **pricetag56** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 6:07 pm

people who said the season is going to be weak or a bust or watever, really dont understand weather and how quick it can change out there. they will be the same ones running for their lives when a huge storm is heading right for them.

cpdaman · #1380 Postby **cpdaman** » Wed Aug 25, 2010 6:35 pm

where is the stinkin center of this thing ...seems like it's back to movin due NW

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