WPAC: RAGASA - Typhoon

[Hurricane2022]

It is extremely powerful typhoons like this one that always make me wish that JMA is not so conservative when it comes to pressure.

Especially when there are data on the ground.

JMA is stuck at 100 kt (10-min)/925 since yesterday. Oh, and they're also thinking that the C3 TY Neoguri is almost at the same intensity.

[cycloneye]

Sunrise over Ragasa and wow.

[Teban54]

[Hurricane2022]

 https://x.com/WeathermanAAA_/status/1969890692768890995

[cycloneye]

Another stunning image.

[Hurricane2022]

 https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1969905997742530775

[Travorum]

18z HWRF and HAFS-A still showing a Hong Kong landfall, both weaker than 12z. Both are on the north end of both GFS and Euro ensembles.

[StormChaser75]

Absolutely stunning Super Typhoon RAGASA

[cycloneye]

Live stream from chaser James Reynolds in Batanes.

https://www.youtube.com/live/91q3-6QwWUE

[Iceresistance]

My goodness

https://s14.gifyu.com/images/bTeuA.gif

[Fancy1002]

How did I not know this storm existed?

[Hurricane2000]

[Hayabusa]

Although not a full eye pass, a 21:44:55 UTC SAR pass earlier found 145 kt winds on the western side of the storm

[Hayabusa]

Strongest TC of 2025 and forecast to go 900mb

T2518(Ragasa)
Issued at 2025/09/22 00:50 UTC
Analysis at 09/22 00 UTC
Grade TY
Scale -
Intensity Violent
Center position N19°25′ (19.4°)
E123°00′ (123.0°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20 km/h (12 kt)
Central pressure 905 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 55 m/s (110 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 80 m/s (155 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area 220 km (120 NM)
Radius of 30-kt wind area E500 km (270 NM)
W390 km (210 NM)
Forecast for 09/22 12 UTC
Grade TY
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N19°35′ (19.6°)
E120°35′ (120.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure 900 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 60 m/s (115 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 85 m/s (165 kt)
Radius of probability circle 45 km (25 NM)
Radius of storm warning area 270 km (145 NM)

[Sciencerocks]

[cycloneye]

Matthew Cuyugan
10 min
·
Yikes! Officially the MOST-INTENSE tropical cyclone this year WORLDWIDE. #NandoPH #Ragasa
The most-intense in WPAC since Bolaven (2023).
905 hPa (JMA).

[mrbagyo]

24W RAGASA 250922 0000 19.3N 122.9E WPAC 145 910

Come on JTWC.
AWS in Calayan has stopped reporting since 1200z (8:00 PM) last night but the SYNOPTIC station is still up

[CrazyC83]

Based on slight continued deepening since the buoy, I'd go 160 kt and 894 mb personally.