ATL: LESLIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
-
Hurricane_Luis
- Category 2
- Posts: 723
- Age: 27
- Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 3:14 pm
- Location: Tiptree, Essex, United Kingdom
- Contact:
-
tolakram
- Admin
- Posts: 20009
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
0 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Hmmm interesting little presentation, it looks like the clouds are already starting to become a little more shallow near the center of this system. I'm sure this is probably north of 40kts at the moment...
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
-
Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
Re:
KWT wrote:Hmmm interesting little presentation, it looks like the clouds are already starting to become a little more shallow near the center of this system. I'm sure this is probably north of 40kts at the moment...
yeah was just talking to someone else about that. this is probably closer to 60mph atm.
0 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145292
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
It continues to get stronger judging by how it looks and still moving west at a good clip.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
Looking at the images and loops, looks like the center is on the NE side of the convection...near 14.1N or 14.2N
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
Last edited by brunota2003 on Thu Aug 30, 2012 11:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Just a small town southern boy helping other humans.
-
Hurricane_Luis
- Category 2
- Posts: 723
- Age: 27
- Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 3:14 pm
- Location: Tiptree, Essex, United Kingdom
- Contact:
Re: Re:
jabman98 wrote:Hurricane_Luis wrote:Love the way the NHC has put this
...YET ANOTHER DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...
That made me chuckle. The NHC is busy at the moment, that's for sure.
well having 4 storms active isn't the time for a cup of coffee and a sleep
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145292
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re:
brunota2003 wrote:Looking at the images and loops, looks like the center is on the NE side of the convection...near 14.1N or 14.2N
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
If that persist,it may go little more west.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re:
brunota2003 wrote:Looking at the images and loops, looks like the center is on the NE side of the convection...near 14.1N or 14.2N
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
totally agree...I think its doing some dry air eating in the midlevels.....see the inflow of clouds from the NE...thats not going to help it much...
low level steering currently...
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... oom=&time=
0 likes
-
Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
Re: Re:
cycloneye wrote:brunota2003 wrote:Looking at the images and loops, looks like the center is on the NE side of the convection...near 14.1N or 14.2N
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
If that persist,it may go little more west.
actually its not being exposed for that reason. the curved banding that is quickly taking shape is nearly 3/4 the way around the center. This is closer to 60mph atm very good outflow large moisture envelope and no sign of a turn at all. its also clearly around 13.7 to 13.9 there are east winds blowing at 14n.
0 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
-
ConvergenceZone
.gif)
- Category 5
- Posts: 5194
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
- Location: Northern California
-
Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
each model run has consistently from initialization a immediate wnw to nw motion and just as consistently it has moved straight west south of all guidance.
0 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
-
Portastorm
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 9914
- Age: 63
- Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
- Location: Round Rock, TX
- Contact:
Re:
ConvergenceZone wrote:At least with nothing active being of a threatening nature, we can all take a breather for awhile....
I don't think board members mind at all though as everyone is pretty exhausted due to Isaac...
Post of the day! Amen.
0 likes
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
-
floridasun78
- Category 5
- Posts: 3755
- Joined: Sun May 17, 2009 10:16 pm
- Location: miami fl
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-vis.html click tropical fcst point it will need need gain lat to to get that point it look like will miss it
0 likes
Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
ya aric i'm looking forward to seeing the 12z model guidance and there ens and how they handle the trough off the e. coast for mon.
they are getting within a time frame where i would think they would be able to lock in the depth of said trough, of course the further south (or north) 12L is , may effect how much the trough steers her OTS or not
they are getting within a time frame where i would think they would be able to lock in the depth of said trough, of course the further south (or north) 12L is , may effect how much the trough steers her OTS or not
0 likes
-
wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22978
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: Re:
cycloneye wrote:brunota2003 wrote:Looking at the images and loops, looks like the center is on the NE side of the convection...near 14.1N or 14.2N
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
If that persist,it may go little more west.
Note that the shallow BAM (BAMS) takes it sharply WNW while the mid and deep-layer BAMs take it farther west. Still, they all indicate recurvature well east of the Caribbean.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests