ATL: LESLIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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WeatherGuesser
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Hurricane_Luis
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
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Hmmm interesting little presentation, it looks like the clouds are already starting to become a little more shallow near the center of this system. I'm sure this is probably north of 40kts at the moment...
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Aric Dunn
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Re:
KWT wrote:Hmmm interesting little presentation, it looks like the clouds are already starting to become a little more shallow near the center of this system. I'm sure this is probably north of 40kts at the moment...
yeah was just talking to someone else about that. this is probably closer to 60mph atm.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
It continues to get stronger judging by how it looks and still moving west at a good clip.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif
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brunota2003
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Looking at the images and loops, looks like the center is on the NE side of the convection...near 14.1N or 14.2N
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
Last edited by brunota2003 on Thu Aug 30, 2012 11:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Hurricane_Luis
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jabman98 wrote:Hurricane_Luis wrote:Love the way the NHC has put this
...YET ANOTHER DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...
That made me chuckle. The NHC is busy at the moment, that's for sure.
well having 4 storms active isn't the time for a cup of coffee and a sleep
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cycloneye
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Re:
brunota2003 wrote:Looking at the images and loops, looks like the center is on the NE side of the convection...near 14.1N or 14.2N
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
If that persist,it may go little more west.
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Re:
brunota2003 wrote:Looking at the images and loops, looks like the center is on the NE side of the convection...near 14.1N or 14.2N
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
totally agree...I think its doing some dry air eating in the midlevels.....see the inflow of clouds from the NE...thats not going to help it much...
low level steering currently...
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/d ... oom=&time=
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Re:
cycloneye wrote:brunota2003 wrote:Looking at the images and loops, looks like the center is on the NE side of the convection...near 14.1N or 14.2N
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
If that persist,it may go little more west.
actually its not being exposed for that reason. the curved banding that is quickly taking shape is nearly 3/4 the way around the center. This is closer to 60mph atm very good outflow large moisture envelope and no sign of a turn at all. its also clearly around 13.7 to 13.9 there are east winds blowing at 14n.
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ConvergenceZone
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each model run has consistently from initialization a immediate wnw to nw motion and just as consistently it has moved straight west south of all guidance.
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ConvergenceZone wrote:At least with nothing active being of a threatening nature, we can all take a breather for awhile....
I don't think board members mind at all though as everyone is pretty exhausted due to Isaac...
Post of the day! Amen.
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floridasun78
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Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-vis.html click tropical fcst point it will need need gain lat to to get that point it look like will miss it
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Re: ATL: TWELVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
ya aric i'm looking forward to seeing the 12z model guidance and there ens and how they handle the trough off the e. coast for mon.
they are getting within a time frame where i would think they would be able to lock in the depth of said trough, of course the further south (or north) 12L is , may effect how much the trough steers her OTS or not
they are getting within a time frame where i would think they would be able to lock in the depth of said trough, of course the further south (or north) 12L is , may effect how much the trough steers her OTS or not
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wxman57
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Re: Re:
cycloneye wrote:brunota2003 wrote:Looking at the images and loops, looks like the center is on the NE side of the convection...near 14.1N or 14.2N
And actually, if the convection keeps dying down over the center and the cirrus clear, the center will be nearly completely exposed (it is already partly).
If that persist,it may go little more west.
Note that the shallow BAM (BAMS) takes it sharply WNW while the mid and deep-layer BAMs take it farther west. Still, they all indicate recurvature well east of the Caribbean.
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