ATL: GABRIELLE - Remnants - Discussion

[gatorcane]

Convection looking better today though the LLC is displaced to the west of the convection due to some westerly shear. I am surprised NHC is only giving this a 20-40% chance especially since the trough will pull out in 48 hours and some ridging will build in which should allow for upper-level winds to relax some. I think development chances needs to be raised as I feel this is on it's way to developing. Again development will be slow and gradual but I think in the end this gets named.

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[gatorcane]

RAL update though I think it is stationary and just drifting at the moment when I look at the vis loop below where RAL puts the center:

At 1200 UTC, 07 September 2013, LOW GABRIELLE (AL07) was located in the North Atlantic basin at 22.8°N and 69.2°W. The current intensity was 25 kt and the center was moving at 8 kt at a bearing of 350 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb.

http://www.ral.ucar.edu/guidance/realti ... /al072013/

[StormingB81]

If this regenerates does it become a new number or possible if it gets strong enough new name?

[cycloneye]

18z Best Track.

AL, 07, 2013090718, , BEST, 0, 236N, 692W, 30, 1010, LO

StormingB81, same name.

[StormingB81]

Thank you cycloneye

[HurricaneDREW92]

18z Best Track.

AL, 07, 2013090718, , BEST, 0, 236N, 692W, 30, 1010, LO

StormingB81, same name.

So far, what as recon found? Thx.

[Hurricane_Luis]

A tweet from the Hurricane Hunters

NOAAHurricaneHunters ‏@NOAA_HurrHunter 32m
#NOAA49 #NOAA42 and #NOAA43 (#NOAA aircraft) are presently flying a joint tropical research mission into the remnants of #Gabrielle

[Riptide]

Looks pretty good on visible and decent on IR; has a sheared structure but hard to see how Gabby does not redevelop.

[SeGaBob]

18z Best Track.

AL, 07, 2013090718, , BEST, 0, 236N, 692W, 30, 1010, LO

StormingB81, same name.

So far, what as recon found? Thx.

I read in a different thread that the recon didn't take off until 3.... if that's true they haven't got there yet.

[AEWspotter]

Recon isn't flying until 21Z. There some P-3 research missions measuring the large-scale environment with the possible regeneration. These planes are generally flying at 7000 ft or higher.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml

[SeGaBob]

Recon isn't flying until 21Z. There some P-3 research missions measuring the large-scale environment with the possible regeneration. These planes are generally flying at 7000 ft or higher.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml

When is 21Z?

[AJC3]

Recon isn't flying until 21Z. There some P-3 research missions measuring the large-scale environment with the possible regeneration. These planes are generally flying at 7000 ft or higher.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml

When is 21Z?

5PM EDT

[AEWspotter]

21Z or 21 Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) is EDT+4hrs, or 5pm EDT. So right now, it is 19:38Z or 19:38GMT

[Chris_in_Tampa]

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 07/2100Z
B. AFXXX 0407A GABRIELLE
C. 06/1900Z
D. 24.0N 68.5W
E. 07/2030Z TO 08/0000Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

Takeoff should have been 3pm EDT.

Summer Plan
A. Fix/Invest Time
B. Mission Identifier
C. Departure Time
D. Forecast Position
E. Time on Station
F. Altitude(s) on Station
G. Remarks (if needed)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutreconpod.shtml

I just noticed the date if off though.

[AEWspotter]

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 07/2100Z
B. AFXXX 0407A GABRIELLE
C. 06/1900Z
D. 24.0N 68.5W
E. 07/2030Z TO 08/0000Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

Takeoff should have been 3pm EDT.

Summer Plan
A. Fix/Invest Time
B. Mission Identifier
C. Departure Time
D. Forecast Position
E. Time on Station
F. Altitude(s) on Station
G. Remarks (if needed)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutreconpod.shtml

I just noticed the date if off though.

Good call.

[cycloneye]

Air Force plane is flying now.

URNT15 KNHC 071951
AF304 0407A GABRIELLE HDOB 06 20130907

[AEWspotter]

They found 1009mb, but it's sloppy in there still. Definitely battling the shear...

[HurricaneDREW92]

Local met says we're getting an upgrade at 11pm EST. True?

['CaneFreak]

Not a prayer. No one likes rumors. Please stop. Thanks.

Local met says we're getting an upgrade at 11pm EST. True?

[SeGaBob]

Recon isn't flying until 21Z. There some P-3 research missions measuring the large-scale environment with the possible regeneration. These planes are generally flying at 7000 ft or higher.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml

When is 21Z?

5PM EDT

Thanks for answering that for me.