WPAC: MAYSAK - Post-Tropical
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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OH MY GOD!
TY 1504 (MAYSAK)
Issued at 09:45 UTC, 31 March 2015
<Analyses at 31/09 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Violent
Center position N10°05'(10.1°)
E140°35'(140.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25km/h(13kt)
Central pressure 915hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL170km(90NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N390km(210NM)
S330km(180NM)
<Forecast for 31/21 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N10°35'(10.6°)
E138°25'(138.4°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 910hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)
<Forecast for 01/09 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N11°10'(11.2°)
E136°25'(136.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 905hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL300km(160NM)
<Forecast for 02/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N12°40'(12.7°)
E134°05'(134.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area ALL350km(190NM)
<Forecast for 03/06 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N14°25'(14.4°)
E131°00'(131.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL440km(240NM)
TY 1504 (MAYSAK)
Issued at 09:45 UTC, 31 March 2015
<Analyses at 31/09 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Violent
Center position N10°05'(10.1°)
E140°35'(140.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25km/h(13kt)
Central pressure 915hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL170km(90NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N390km(210NM)
S330km(180NM)
<Forecast for 31/21 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N10°35'(10.6°)
E138°25'(138.4°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 910hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)
<Forecast for 01/09 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N11°10'(11.2°)
E136°25'(136.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 905hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL300km(160NM)
<Forecast for 02/06 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N12°40'(12.7°)
E134°05'(134.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area ALL350km(190NM)
<Forecast for 03/06 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N14°25'(14.4°)
E131°00'(131.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL440km(240NM)
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Re:
ohno wrote:The good news is that per JMA, intensity will go down to 70knots in 3 days. Right?
Yes. All models and agencies agree on definite weakening before landfall.
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Re: Re:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:ohno wrote:The good news is that per JMA, intensity will go down to 70knots in 3 days. Right?
Yes. All models and agencies agree on definite weakening before landfall.
Yes. JMA down to 70kts but still 2 days away from landfall. JTWC is bullish. 95Kts on landfall
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- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: MAYSAK - Typhoon
I think the SSD tropical floater for Maysak (and other tropical systems) are malfunctioning? It's not updating its content.
latest image is a just a black image with date : Jan 0 00 00:00
I hope this is not an attack
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04W/04W_floater.html
latest image is a just a black image with date : Jan 0 00 00:00
I hope this is not an attack
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04W/04W_floater.html
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it continues to intensify. someone better save the latest images, we don't know when it's gonna have this nice eye.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: MAYSAK - Typhoon
mrbagyo wrote:I think the SSD tropical floater for Maysak (and other tropical systems) are malfunctioning? It's not updating its content.
latest image is a just a black image with date : Jan 0 00 00:00
I hope this is not an attack
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04W/04W_floater.html
Been like that for hours
Website shows many good alternative content like CIMSS and FNMOC/US Navy
http://www.hurricanezone.net/
Meanwhile here's the latest pic of Maysak
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- jaguarjace
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Re: WPAC: MAYSAK - Typhoon
I've temporary recreated the SSD floater products using South Korea's COMS satellite.
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index.php?satellite=coms&channel=ir2&coverage=enh&file=gif
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index.php?satellite=coms&channel=ir4&coverage=enh&file=gif
Product Outage/Anomaly: MTSAT Data Outage, Issued: March 31.
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index.php?satellite=coms&channel=ir2&coverage=enh&file=gif
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index.php?satellite=coms&channel=ir4&coverage=enh&file=gif
Product Outage/Anomaly: MTSAT Data Outage, Issued: March 31.
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- ManilaTC
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Wobbled WSW, jogged W
Gaining less latitude
Gaining less latitude
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Seems to be moving straight west
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- cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: MAYSAK - Typhoon
IMO,it looks like when Haiyan was at peak.
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Re:
ejeraldmc wrote:Seems to be moving straight west
No longer WNW right?
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Re: WPAC: MAYSAK - Typhoon
cycloneye wrote:IMO,it looks like when Haiyan was at peak.
Last frame shows that little island right against the eyewall. Scary.
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- SouthDadeFish
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Re: WPAC: MAYSAK - Typhoon
This storm has had an incredible structure since its days as a TS. The most recent microwave pass is very impressive, with solid ice scattering depicted throughout the eyewall:
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Bad news for Yap, moving south of west which means closer to them.
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Re: Re:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:ejeraldmc wrote:Seems to be moving straight west
No longer WNW right?
Yeah. It seems that Maysak doesn't want to miss those islands. :/
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: MAYSAK - Typhoon
04W MAYSAK 150331 1200 10.2N 139.9E WPAC 140 918
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does not look wsw to me...just straight west..if it does maybe it's just a one-frame wobble...
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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