ATL: DANNY - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L- Models
Uncle HWRF is still crazy, what an embarrassment.
I wanted to post what I was thinking so if this comes true people can flog me for saying it.
I wanted to post what I was thinking so if this comes true people can flog me for saying it.
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M a r k
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- gatorcane
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One thing that has my attention looking downstream, is this pattern that we haven't seen this time of year in a while (500 MB pattern from ECMWF ensembles below, day 10) - a building ridge over the Western Atlantic - question is will 96L be significant enough down the road and get under that ridge (ala what the UKMET might be hinting at?)?
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Re:
gatorcane wrote:One thing that has my attention looking downstream, is this pattern that we haven't seen this time of year in a while (500 MB pattern from ECMWF ensembles below, day 10) - a building ridge over the Western Atlantic - question is will 96L be significant enough down the road and get under that ridge (ala what the UKMET might be hinting at?)?
This pattern dives storms right into the worse conditions in the basin, unless somehow the Caribbean becomes more favorable.
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- TheStormExpert
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L- Models
Riptide wrote:12z GFS more bullish.
Indeed, down to 1005MB at 90 hours
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- TheStormExpert
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L- Models
I think the 12z Euro will bring it back and the 00z was a bad run. The GFS did the same thing and now brought it back.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L- Models
12z HWRF still on it. Over doing intensity again IMO.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L- Models
The Euro is back with it as I thought it would.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L- Models
gfs stuffSFLcane wrote:Enjoying this model stuff even if complete nonsense.
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12Z Euro has a decent tropical storm at 90 hours (looking at Weatherbell, can't post graphics).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L- Models
I said decent, well 1003MB at 102 hours.
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